The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,069

Win Rate

44.2%

Net Units

-0.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 22 Jun 2026 18:23 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

  1. W10
  2. W11
  3. W12
  4. W13
  5. W14
  6. W15
  7. W16
  8. W17
  9. W18
  10. W19
  11. W20
  12. W21
  13. W22
  14. W23
  15. W24
  16. W25
  17. W26

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

17 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,067 rows · page 6 of 22

ATP Madrid Open26 Apr

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

@2.52 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.52u

ATP Madrid Open26 Apr

Alexander Bublik

@1.67 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

Eredivisie25 Apr

FC Twente Enschede

@1.95 · 1.5u · CLV +4.90%

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Madrid Open25 Apr

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

@2.12 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.12u

ATP Madrid Open25 Apr

Brandon Nakashima

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open25 Apr

Ugo Humbert

@1.81 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Madrid Open25 Apr

Terence Atmane

@2.14 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.14u

ATP Madrid Open25 Apr

Jaume Munar

@2.90 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open25 Apr

Alexander Blockx

@1.82 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.23u

ATP Madrid Open25 Apr

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

@2.90 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open25 Apr

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

@2.59 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

Primeira Liga25 Apr

Tondela

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV +2.02%

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open25 Apr

Pablo Carreno Busta

@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

AFL25 Apr

Essendon Bombers

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +5.41%

LOST

-0.50u

NBA25 Apr

Portland Trail Blazers

@2.40 · 1.0u · CLV +6.88%

LOST

-1.00u

AFL25 Apr

Gold Coast Suns

@2.45 · 1.0u · CLV +0.85%

LOST

-1.00u

NBA25 Apr

Los Angeles Lakers

@3.80 · 0.5u · CLV +8.90%

WON

+1.40u

ATP Madrid Open25 Apr

Alex de Minaur

@1.98 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Madrid Open25 Apr

Sebastian Ofner

@2.75 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

MLB25 Apr

Colorado Rockies

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV +3.71%

WON

+1.13u

ATP Madrid Open24 Apr

Dusan Lajovic

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open24 Apr

Alejandro Tabilo

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open24 Apr

Elmer Moller

@2.18 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.18u

ATP Madrid Open24 Apr

Jan-Lennard Struff

@2.15 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open24 Apr

Gabriel Diallo

@1.73 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Madrid Open24 Apr

Jiri Lehecka

@1.66 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.99u

ATP Madrid Open24 Apr

Damir Dzumhur

@2.33 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NRL24 Apr

Brisbane Broncos

@2.15 · 1.0u · CLV +9.04%

WON

+1.73u

NRL24 Apr

Canterbury Bulldogs

@1.70 · 1.5u · CLV +7.84%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL24 Apr

Los Angeles Kings

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV -0.47%

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Madrid Open24 Apr

Daniel Altmaier

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open24 Apr

Reilly Opelka

@1.82 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Madrid Open24 Apr

Daniel Merida Aguilar

@1.73 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.10u

ATP Madrid Open24 Apr

Martin Damm Jr.

@2.81 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.81u

NHL24 Apr

Boston Bruins

@2.55 · 1.0u · CLV +12.07%

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open23 Apr

Grigor Dimitrov

@2.02 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open23 Apr

Marcos Giron

@2.60 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

MLB23 Apr

Washington Nationals

@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV +2.07%

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open23 Apr

Miomir Kecmanovic

@1.75 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Madrid Open23 Apr

Terence Atmane

@2.20 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.20u

One Day Internationals23 Apr

Bangladesh

@1.60 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.90u

One Day Internationals23 Apr

New Zealand

@2.65 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NRL23 Apr

Canberra Raiders

@2.58 · 1.0u · CLV +6.69%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL23 Apr

Anaheim Ducks

@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV +9.31%

WON

+1.25u

ATP Madrid Open23 Apr

Valentin Royer

@3.27 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Madrid Open23 Apr

Jenson Brooksby

@2.00 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

La Liga22 Apr

Real Sociedad

@2.40 · 1.0u · CLV +2.58%

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open22 Apr

Roberto Bautista Agut

@2.55 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open22 Apr

Sebastian Ofner

@1.80 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.20u

ATP Madrid Open22 Apr

Alexandre Muller

@1.76 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

Net · last 0d

-19.60u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

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