The Public Ledger
EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.
Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.
Settled Bets
1,069
Win Rate
44.2%
Net Units
-0.58u
Avg CLV*
+0.19%
Last updated: 22 Jun 2026 19:27 GMT+10
*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.
Every week since launch
Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall
- W10
- W11
- W12
- W13
- W14
- W15
- W16
- W17
- W18
- W19
- W20
- W21
- W22
- W23
- W24
- W25
- W26
The drawdown
THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.
Equity & drawdown
17 weeks · cumulative units
SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME
1,067 rows · page 7 of 22
| Settled | Sport | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | CLV | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | NHL | Vegas Golden Knights vs Utah Mammoth | Utah Mammoth | 3.15 | 0.5u | +10.63% | WON | +1.08u |
| 22 Apr | NHL | Buffalo Sabres vs Boston Bruins | Boston Bruins | 3.25 | 0.5u | +9.88% | WON | +1.13u |
| 21 Apr | International T20 | Nepal vs UAE | Nepal | 1.73 | 1.5u | — | WON | +1.10u |
| 21 Apr | La Liga | Mallorca vs Valencia | Mallorca | 2.50 | 1.0u | +2.55% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 21 Apr | NHL | Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks | Anaheim Ducks | 3.50 | 0.5u | +16.88% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 21 Apr | NHL | Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild | Minnesota Wild | 3.00 | 1.0u | +14.74% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 20 Apr | International T20 | Nepal vs UAE | UAE | 2.41 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.41u |
| 20 Apr | NHL | Vegas Golden Knights vs Utah Mammoth | Utah Mammoth | 3.15 | 0.5u | +10.27% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 20 Apr | NHL | Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montréal Canadiens | Montréal Canadiens | 3.45 | 0.5u | +9.48% | WON | +1.23u |
| 19 Apr | Brasileirão | Bragantino-SP vs Remo | Bragantino-SP | 1.55 | 1.5u | +31.64% | WON | +0.83u |
| 19 Apr | Primeira Liga | Braga vs Famalicão | Braga | 1.82 | 1.5u | +1.23% | LOST | -1.50u |
| 19 Apr | Primeira Liga | Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica | Sporting Lisbon | 2.12 | 1.0u | +0.45% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 19 Apr | Ligue 1 | Metz vs Paris FC | Paris FC | 2.15 | 1.0u | +2.27% | WON | +1.15u |
| 19 Apr | EPL | Manchester City vs Arsenal | Manchester City | 2.23 | 1.0u | +0.00% | WON | +1.23u |
| 19 Apr | MMA | Thiago Moises vs Gauge Young | Gauge Young | 1.77 | 1.5u | — | WON | +1.16u |
| 19 Apr | MMA | Thiago Moises vs Gauge Young | Thiago Moises | 2.14 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 19 Apr | MMA | Julien Leblanc vs Robert Valentin | Robert Valentin | 1.72 | 1.5u | — | WON | +1.08u |
| 19 Apr | MMA | Mandel Nallo vs Jai Herbert | Mandel Nallo | 1.58 | 1.5u | — | LOST | -1.50u |
| 19 Apr | NBA | Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets | Houston Rockets | 1.48 | 1.5u | +31.44% | LOST | -1.50u |
| 19 Apr | MMA | J.J. Aldrich vs Jamey-Lyn Horth | J.J. Aldrich | 2.70 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.70u |
| 19 Apr | MMA | Mark Vologdin vs John Castaneda | John Castaneda | 1.75 | 1.5u | — | LOST | -1.50u |
| 18 Apr | Brasileirão | Chapecoense vs Botafogo | Botafogo | 2.35 | 1.0u | +0.00% | WON | +1.35u |
| 18 Apr | Brasileirão | Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo | Vasco da Gama | 2.30 | 1.0u | +1.98% | WON | +1.30u |
| 18 Apr | NBA | Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets | 1.44 | 1.5u | +1.98% | WON | +0.66u |
| 18 Apr | MLB | Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets | New York Mets | 2.25 | 1.0u | +8.19% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 18 Apr | MLB | Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets | Chicago Cubs | 1.90 | 1.5u | +0.84% | WON | +1.35u |
| 18 Apr | Ligue 1 | Angers vs Le Havre | Angers | 3.55 | 0.5u | +0.00% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 18 Apr | Primeira Liga | Casa Pia vs Santa Clara | Santa Clara | 2.23 | 1.0u | +0.61% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 18 Apr | Bundesliga | Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig | RB Leipzig | 2.05 | 1.0u | +42.96% | WON | +1.05u |
| 18 Apr | EPL | Newcastle United vs Bournemouth | Newcastle United | 1.89 | 1.5u | +1.14% | LOST | -1.50u |
| 18 Apr | NRL | Wests Tigers vs Brisbane Broncos | Wests Tigers | 1.63 | 1.5u | +3.59% | LOST | -1.50u |
| 18 Apr | NRL | Wests Tigers vs Brisbane Broncos | Brisbane Broncos | 2.60 | 1.0u | +5.98% | WON | +1.60u |
| 18 Apr | Boxing | Elon Dejesus vs Connor Adaway | Connor Adaway | 2.40 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 18 Apr | MLB | Houston Astros vs St. Louis Cardinals | Houston Astros | 1.72 | 1.5u | -2.58% | LOST | -1.50u |
| 17 Apr | MLB | Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets | Chicago Cubs | 1.75 | 1.5u | +2.38% | WON | +1.13u |
| 17 Apr | International T20 | Namibia vs Scotland | Namibia | 3.50 | 0.5u | — | LOST | -0.50u |
| 17 Apr | One Day Internationals | Bangladesh vs New Zealand | New Zealand | 2.36 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.36u |
| 17 Apr | One Day Internationals | Bangladesh vs New Zealand | Bangladesh | 1.58 | 1.5u | — | LOST | -1.50u |
| 17 Apr | NRL | Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm | Canberra Raiders | 2.14 | 1.0u | +9.14% | WON | +1.14u |
| 17 Apr | NHL | Colorado Avalanche vs Seattle Kraken | Seattle Kraken | 3.65 | 0.5u | +14.27% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 17 Apr | NHL | Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings | Calgary Flames | 3.00 | 1.0u | +10.53% | WON | +2.00u |
| 17 Apr | NHL | Winnipeg Jets vs San Jose Sharks | San Jose Sharks | 3.30 | 0.5u | +12.25% | WON | +1.15u |
| 16 Apr | NRL | North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | North Queensland Cowboys | 1.59 | 1.5u | +35.15% | LOST | -1.50u |
| 16 Apr | NHL | Chicago Blackhawks vs San Jose Sharks | Chicago Blackhawks | 2.75 | 1.0u | +1.66% | WON | +1.75u |
| 16 Apr | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 1.85 | 1.5u | +1.81% | LOST | -1.50u |
| 16 Apr | NHL | Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3.60 | 0.5u | +11.44% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 16 Apr | NHL | Buffalo Sabres vs Dallas Stars | Dallas Stars | 2.28 | 1.0u | +15.66% | WON | +1.28u |
| 16 Apr | NHL | Buffalo Sabres vs Dallas Stars | Buffalo Sabres | 3.00 | 1.0u | +9.77% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 16 Apr | NHL | Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers | New York Rangers | 3.30 | 0.5u | +16.21% | WON | +1.15u |
| 15 Apr | International T20 | Namibia vs Scotland | Scotland | 1.50 | 1.5u | — | WON | +0.75u |
| Net · last 0 days | +6.12u | |||||||
Utah Mammoth
@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV +10.63%
+1.08u
Boston Bruins
@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV +9.88%
+1.13u
Nepal
@1.73 · 1.5u · CLV —
+1.10u
Mallorca
@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +2.55%
-1.00u
Anaheim Ducks
@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV +16.88%
-0.50u
Minnesota Wild
@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV +14.74%
-1.00u
UAE
@2.41 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.41u
Utah Mammoth
@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV +10.27%
-0.50u
Montréal Canadiens
@3.45 · 0.5u · CLV +9.48%
+1.23u
Bragantino-SP
@1.55 · 1.5u · CLV +31.64%
+0.83u
Braga
@1.82 · 1.5u · CLV +1.23%
-1.50u
Sporting Lisbon
@2.12 · 1.0u · CLV +0.45%
-1.00u
Paris FC
@2.15 · 1.0u · CLV +2.27%
+1.15u
Manchester City
@2.23 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%
+1.23u
Gauge Young
@1.77 · 1.5u · CLV —
+1.16u
Thiago Moises
@2.14 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Robert Valentin
@1.72 · 1.5u · CLV —
+1.08u
Mandel Nallo
@1.58 · 1.5u · CLV —
-1.50u
Houston Rockets
@1.48 · 1.5u · CLV +31.44%
-1.50u
J.J. Aldrich
@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.70u
John Castaneda
@1.75 · 1.5u · CLV —
-1.50u
Botafogo
@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%
+1.35u
Vasco da Gama
@2.30 · 1.0u · CLV +1.98%
+1.30u
Denver Nuggets
@1.44 · 1.5u · CLV +1.98%
+0.66u
New York Mets
@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV +8.19%
-1.00u
Chicago Cubs
@1.90 · 1.5u · CLV +0.84%
+1.35u
Angers
@3.55 · 0.5u · CLV +0.00%
-0.50u
Santa Clara
@2.23 · 1.0u · CLV +0.61%
-1.00u
RB Leipzig
@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV +42.96%
+1.05u
Newcastle United
@1.89 · 1.5u · CLV +1.14%
-1.50u
Wests Tigers
@1.63 · 1.5u · CLV +3.59%
-1.50u
Brisbane Broncos
@2.60 · 1.0u · CLV +5.98%
+1.60u
Connor Adaway
@2.40 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Houston Astros
@1.72 · 1.5u · CLV -2.58%
-1.50u
Chicago Cubs
@1.75 · 1.5u · CLV +2.38%
+1.13u
Namibia
@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV —
-0.50u
New Zealand
@2.36 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.36u
Bangladesh
@1.58 · 1.5u · CLV —
-1.50u
Canberra Raiders
@2.14 · 1.0u · CLV +9.14%
+1.14u
Seattle Kraken
@3.65 · 0.5u · CLV +14.27%
-0.50u
Calgary Flames
@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV +10.53%
+2.00u
San Jose Sharks
@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +12.25%
+1.15u
North Queensland Cowboys
@1.59 · 1.5u · CLV +35.15%
-1.50u
Chicago Blackhawks
@2.75 · 1.0u · CLV +1.66%
+1.75u
Toronto Blue Jays
@1.85 · 1.5u · CLV +1.81%
-1.50u
Toronto Maple Leafs
@3.60 · 0.5u · CLV +11.44%
-0.50u
Dallas Stars
@2.28 · 1.0u · CLV +15.66%
+1.28u
Buffalo Sabres
@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV +9.77%
-1.00u
New York Rangers
@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +16.21%
+1.15u
Scotland
@1.50 · 1.5u · CLV —
+0.75u
Net · last 0d
+6.12u
Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.
SEEN ENOUGH?
Everything above updates as the pipeline settles. If the ledger reads like something you’d want in your inbox, membership is free until 31 July 2026 — no card required — and after that you pay only on green weeks.
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