The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,065

Win Rate

44.0%

Net Units

-4.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 21 Jun 2026 02:42 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

  1. W10
  2. W11
  3. W12
  4. W13
  5. W14
  6. W15
  7. W16
  8. W17
  9. W18
  10. W19
  11. W20
  12. W21
  13. W22
  14. W23
  15. W24
  16. W25

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

16 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,063 rows · page 5 of 22

NRL02 May

Brisbane Broncos

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV +1.64%

LOST

-0.50u

AFL02 May

West Coast Eagles

@1.47 · 1.5u · CLV +2.89%

LOST

-1.50u

NRL02 May

Canberra Raiders

@2.60 · 1.0u · CLV +15.30%

WON

+1.60u

NRL02 May

Gold Coast Titans

@1.78 · 1.5u · CLV -3.55%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL02 May

Montréal Canadiens

@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL02 May

Boston Bruins

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV +14.29%

LOST

-1.00u

AFL01 May

Western Bulldogs

@3.20 · 0.5u · CLV +1.54%

LOST

-0.50u

NRL01 May

Melbourne Storm

@2.29 · 1.0u · CLV +4.41%

LOST

-1.00u

NRL01 May

Canterbury Bulldogs

@1.77 · 1.5u · CLV +5.61%

LOST

-1.50u

MLB30 Apr

Baltimore Orioles

@1.83 · 1.5u · CLV +0.30%

LOST

-1.50u

MLB30 Apr

Philadelphia Phillies

@1.73 · 1.5u · CLV +2.08%

WON

+1.10u

NHL30 Apr

Utah Mammoth

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV +11.78%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL30 Apr

Philadelphia Flyers

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +13.48%

WON

+1.50u

NHL30 Apr

Montréal Canadiens

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +0.00%

WON

+1.15u

International T2029 Apr

New Zealand

@2.55 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NHL29 Apr

Boston Bruins

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +10.51%

WON

+1.15u

NHL29 Apr

Minnesota Wild

@2.90 · 1.0u · CLV +11.39%

WON

+1.90u

ATP Madrid Open29 Apr

Alexander Zverev

@1.54 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.81u

ATP Madrid Open29 Apr

Daniil Medvedev

@1.89 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

NHL28 Apr

Utah Mammoth

@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV +14.25%

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open28 Apr

Jakub Mensik

@1.97 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.46u

ATP Madrid Open28 Apr

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

@2.55 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open27 Apr

Daniel Merida Aguilar

@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NHL27 Apr

Anaheim Ducks

@2.90 · 1.0u · CLV +11.39%

WON

+1.90u

ATP Madrid Open27 Apr

Thiago Agustin Tirante

@2.12 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Madrid Open27 Apr

Vit Kopriva

@2.88 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.88u

ATP Madrid Open27 Apr

Arthur Rinderknech

@1.73 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

NHL26 Apr

Los Angeles Kings

@3.45 · 0.5u · CLV +11.83%

LOST

-0.50u

Brasileirão26 Apr

Corinthians

@2.23 · 1.0u · CLV +2.78%

WON

+1.23u

ATP Madrid Open26 Apr

Dino Prizmic

@1.93 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

La Liga26 Apr

Oviedo

@2.32 · 1.0u · CLV +1.34%

LOST

-1.00u

Primeira Liga26 Apr

Famalicão

@2.28 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%

WON

+1.28u

Ligue 126 Apr

Lorient

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV +4.29%

LOST

-1.00u

Scottish Premiership26 Apr

Dundee FC

@3.60 · 0.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-0.50u

MMA26 Apr

Norma Dumont

@1.60 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA26 Apr

Rafa Garcia

@2.20 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.20u

MMA26 Apr

Rodolfo Vieira

@1.42 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA26 Apr

Alex Hernandez

@1.67 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA26 Apr

Marcus Buchecha

@1.66 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA26 Apr

Montel Jackson

@1.68 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA26 Apr

Youssef Zalal

@1.65 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA26 Apr

Davey Grant

@1.80 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.80u

Boxing26 Apr

Lenier Pero

@2.55 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NBA26 Apr

Denver Nuggets

@1.82 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Madrid Open26 Apr

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

@2.52 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.52u

ATP Madrid Open26 Apr

Corentin Moutet

@1.56 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Madrid Open26 Apr

Alexander Bublik

@1.67 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA26 Apr

Julia Polastri

@1.44 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

Eredivisie25 Apr

FC Twente Enschede

@1.95 · 1.5u · CLV +4.90%

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Madrid Open25 Apr

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

@2.12 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.12u

Net · last 0d

-18.90u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

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