The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,065

Win Rate

44.0%

Net Units

-4.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 21 Jun 2026 01:34 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

  1. W10
  2. W11
  3. W12
  4. W13
  5. W14
  6. W15
  7. W16
  8. W17
  9. W18
  10. W19
  11. W20
  12. W21
  13. W22
  14. W23
  15. W24
  16. W25

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

16 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,063 rows · page 4 of 22

NHL08 May

Philadelphia Flyers

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +9.38%

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Italian Open08 May

Andrea Pellegrino

@1.80 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.20u

ATP Italian Open08 May

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

@2.07 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Italian Open07 May

Ethan Quinn

@1.92 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Italian Open07 May

Francesco Maestrelli

@2.40 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Italian Open07 May

Miomir Kecmanovic

@1.96 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.44u

ATP Italian Open07 May

Roman Andres Burruchaga

@1.42 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

International T2007 May

Gibraltar

@2.15 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Italian Open07 May

Mattia Bellucci

@2.93 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.93u

ATP Italian Open07 May

Terence Atmane

@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.25u

ATP Italian Open07 May

Nikoloz Basilashvili

@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.70u

ATP Italian Open07 May

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

@2.57 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.57u

ATP Italian Open07 May

Fabian Marozsan

@1.90 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.35u

AFL07 May

Fremantle Dockers

@1.70 · 1.5u · CLV +40.19%

WON

+1.05u

NHL07 May

Anaheim Ducks

@3.20 · 0.5u · CLV +0.00%

WON

+1.10u

ATP Italian Open07 May

Francisco Comesana

@1.57 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

NHL07 May

Montréal Canadiens

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV +13.22%

LOST

-1.00u

MLB07 May

Detroit Tigers

@1.85 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.50u

Boxing06 May

Joeshon James

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Italian Open06 May

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

@1.52 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Italian Open06 May

Jaume Munar

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.35u

ATP Italian Open06 May

Jaime Faria

@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Italian Open06 May

Daniel Altmaier

@1.68 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.02u

NHL06 May

Minnesota Wild

@3.55 · 0.5u · CLV +11.20%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL05 May

Anaheim Ducks

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV +9.55%

LOST

-0.50u

EPL04 May

Manchester City

@1.56 · 1.5u · CLV +2.56%

LOST

-1.50u

EPL04 May

Chelsea

@1.78 · 1.5u · CLV +3.34%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL04 May

Minnesota Wild

@3.70 · 0.5u · CLV +13.13%

LOST

-0.50u

MLB04 May

Detroit Tigers

@1.87 · 1.5u · CLV +0.58%

WON

+1.31u

Brasileirão03 May

Bragantino-SP

@2.16 · 1.0u · CLV +1.32%

WON

+1.16u

MLB03 May

Boston Red Sox

@1.80 · 1.5u · CLV +4.32%

LOST

-1.50u

Bundesliga03 May

VfL Wolfsburg

@3.05 · 0.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-0.50u

Eredivisie03 May

Heerenveen

@2.02 · 1.0u · CLV +25.68%

WON

+1.02u

AFL03 May

Greater Western Sydney Giants

@2.95 · 1.0u · CLV +5.16%

LOST

-1.00u

NRL03 May

Wests Tigers

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV +6.30%

LOST

-1.00u

NRL03 May

South Sydney Rabbitohs

@1.82 · 1.5u · CLV +12.62%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL03 May

Philadelphia Flyers

@3.80 · 0.5u · CLV +10.58%

LOST

-0.50u

MLB03 May

San Francisco Giants

@1.86 · 1.5u · CLV +0.88%

LOST

-1.50u

Brasileirão02 May

Vitoria

@2.23 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%

WON

+1.23u

Eredivisie02 May

NEC Nijmegen

@1.45 · 1.5u · CLV +27.19%

LOST

-1.50u

MMA02 May

Robert Bryczek

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

MMA02 May

Shamil Gaziev

@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

MMA02 May

Tim Elliott

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

MMA02 May

Carlos Prates

@1.86 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.29u

MMA02 May

Brando Pericic

@1.81 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.22u

Bundesliga02 May

1. FC Köln

@2.90 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.00u

MMA02 May

Jonathan Micallef

@1.45 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.68u

International T2002 May

New Zealand

@2.39 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.39u

MMA02 May

Vince Morales

@2.08 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NRL02 May

Brisbane Broncos

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV +1.64%

LOST

-0.50u

Net · last 0d

-8.24u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

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