The Public Ledger
EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.
Every settled bet since the current model went live on 19 May 2026, pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Later settlements and corrections are explained in the dated updates below. What ran before 19 May was pre-launch testing under earlier models; it isn’t part of this record, and no one was charged during it.
Settled Bets
234
Win Rate
41.9%
Net Units
+38.69u
Avg CLV*
+3.93%
Last updated: 3 Nov 2026 15:55 GMT+11
*From 24 October 2026, CLV uses the fixed tip price and the last observed price at the same bookmaker within 30 minutes before the scheduled start: (tip price / closing price − 1) × 100. It is a sampled price movement, without margin or commission adjustment. Missing or unverified observations show a dash and are excluded from averages. Earlier tip prices could change after delivery and remain unverified; historical results are model records, not verified member returns.
Weeks with settled results
Model results · late settlements may revise earlier weeks
- W21
- W22
- W23
- W24
- W25
- W26
- W27
- W28
- W29
- W30
- W31
- W32
- W33
- W34
- W37
- W38
- W39
- W40
- W41
- W42
- W43
- W44
- W45
The drawdown
THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.
Equity & drawdown
23 weeks · cumulative units
How the record changes
The headline, chart and settled ledger use the same selections, created from 19 May 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Weeks follow each selection’s assigned Monday–Sunday UTC reporting week, rather than the date its result arrived. Late settlements and corrections can change an earlier week. These figures describe the model, not an invoice or your personal return.
Published recaps and the current record
Publication snapshots stay unchanged. The comparison below includes results received since publication.
Week 44, 2026 · UTC
Published: +1.60u from 29 settled (11 wins, 18 losses).
As at 3 Nov 2026 10:00 GMT+11. Published 3 Nov 2026 10:00 GMT+11.
Current: +1.60u from 29 settled (11 wins, 18 losses). Matches the published total and sample.
View published recap ↗Week 43, 2026 · UTC
Published: +2.70u from 35 settled (12 wins, 23 losses).
As at 27 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT+11. Published 27 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT+11.
Current: +1.70u from 36 settled (12 wins, 24 losses). Revised since publication. See the dated updates for recorded changes.
View published recap ↗Week 42, 2026 · UTC
Published: +7.06u from 23 settled (11 wins, 12 losses).
As at 20 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT+11. Published 20 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT+11.
Current: +8.46u from 27 settled (13 wins, 14 losses). Revised since publication. See the dated updates for recorded changes.
View published recap ↗Week 41, 2026 · UTC
Published: -2.28u from 27 settled (7 wins, 20 losses).
Published 13 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT+11.
Current: +1.27u from 29 settled (9 wins, 20 losses). Revised since publication. See the dated updates for recorded changes.
This original snapshot used the earlier weekly summary; its exact calculation time was not recorded.
View published recap ↗Week 40, 2026 · UTC
Published: +3.46u from 17 settled (7 wins, 10 losses).
Published 6 Oct 2026 10:00 GMT+11.
Current: +4.21u from 19 settled (8 wins, 11 losses). Revised since publication. See the dated updates for recorded changes.
This original snapshot used the earlier weekly summary; its exact calculation time was not recorded.
View published recap ↗Week 39, 2026 · UTC
Published: +0.94u from 6 settled (3 wins, 3 losses).
Published 29 Sep 2026 10:00 GMT+10.
Current: +2.79u from 7 settled (4 wins, 3 losses). Revised since publication. See the dated updates for recorded changes.
This original snapshot used the earlier weekly summary; its exact calculation time was not recorded.
View published recap ↗Week 38, 2026 · UTC
Published: +3.98u from 3 settled (3 wins, 0 losses).
Published 22 Sep 2026 11:57 GMT+10.
Current: +1.48u from 6 settled (3 wins, 3 losses). Revised since publication. See the dated updates for recorded changes.
This original snapshot used the earlier weekly summary; its exact calculation time was not recorded.
View published recap ↗
Dated updates
Dates below show when each change was recorded. Historical comparisons do not claim an exact earlier change time.
· Week 45, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: +1.80u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 45, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: +1.70u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 45, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: +1.90u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 45, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: -1.00u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 45, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: +1.25u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 45, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: -1.00u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 45, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: +1.75u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 44, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: +1.13u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 43, 2026
A selection settled after its assigned UTC week ended.
Change: -1.00u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 44, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: -0.50u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 44, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: -0.50u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 44, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: -1.00u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 44, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: -1.00u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 44, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: +1.18u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 44, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: -1.00u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 44, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: -0.50u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 44, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: +1.75u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 44, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: -0.50u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 44, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: -1.00u; +1 settled selections.
· Week 44, 2026
A newly settled selection was added to the public record.
Change: -0.50u; +1 settled selections.
SETTLED BETS · SINCE 19 MAY 2026
234 rows · page 4 of 5
| Settled | Sport | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | CLV | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sept | NFL | Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens | Dallas Cowboys | 2.65 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 27 Sept | MLB | Chicago White Sox vs Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies | 2.65 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 27 Sept | MLS | Austin FC vs San Diego FC | Austin FC | 2.60 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 26 Sept | NBL | Perth Wildcats vs New Zealand Breakers | New Zealand Breakers | 3.20 | 0.5u | — | LOST | -0.50u |
| 26 Sept | MLB | Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers | Minnesota Twins | 2.17 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.17u |
| 25 Sept | NBL | Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks | Illawarra Hawks | 2.38 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 24 Sept | NBL | Perth Wildcats vs Adelaide 36ers | Perth Wildcats | 2.25 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.25u |
| 23 Sept | NBL | Cairns Taipans vs Tasmania JackJumpers | Cairns Taipans | 2.02 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.02u |
| 20 Sept | Allsvenskan | Halmstads BK vs AIK | Halmstads BK | 3.70 | 0.5u | — | WON | +1.35u |
| 19 Sept | NBL | Perth Wildcats vs S.E. Melbourne Phoenix | S.E. Melbourne Phoenix | 2.28 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.28u |
| 18 Sept | MLB | Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins | Los Angeles Angels | 2.35 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.35u |
| 13 Sept | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins | Miami Dolphins | 2.72 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 13 Sept | MLB | Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies | Atlanta Braves | 2.20 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.20u |
| 12 Sept | Serie A | Parma vs Cagliari | Cagliari | 3.30 | 0.5u | — | WON | +1.15u |
| 12 Sept | AFL | Essendon Bombers vs Port Adelaide Power | Essendon Bombers | 2.60 | 0.5u | — | LOST | -0.50u |
| 12 Sept | NFL | Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots | New England Patriots | 2.90 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 17 Aug | Argentina Primera Division | Barracas Central vs Rosario Central | Rosario Central | 2.60 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.60u |
| 17 Aug | MLS | New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union | New York City FC | 2.45 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 16 Aug | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 2.30 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 09 Aug | AFL | St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues | St Kilda Saints | 2.15 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 09 Aug | CFL | BC Lions vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats | Hamilton Tiger-Cats | 3.95 | 0.5u | — | LOST | -0.50u |
| 07 Aug | ATP Canadian Open | Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang | Luciano Darderi | 2.30 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.30u |
| 05 Aug | MLB | Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 2.31 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.31u |
| 05 Aug | MLB | Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Dodgers | Chicago Cubs | 3.00 | 1.0u | — | WON | +2.00u |
| 01 Aug | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 2.20 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.20u |
| 20 July | Allsvenskan | Kalmar FF vs Malmo FF | Kalmar FF | 3.10 | 0.5u | — | LOST | -0.50u |
| 18 July | FIFA World Cup | France vs England | France | 2.60 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 18 July | MLB | New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers | New York Yankees | 2.10 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 11 July | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers | Pittsburgh Pirates | 2.10 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.10u |
| 10 July | MLB | San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies | 2.43 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 04 July | AFL | Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons | Melbourne Demons | 3.50 | 0.5u | — | WON | +1.25u |
| 29 June | WTA Wimbledon | Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhang | Shuai Zhang | 2.65 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.65u |
| 28 June | FIFA World Cup | Algeria vs Austria | Algeria | 3.60 | 0.5u | — | LOST | -0.50u |
| 28 June | FIFA World Cup | DR Congo vs Uzbekistan | Uzbekistan | 3.80 | 0.5u | — | LOST | -0.50u |
| 27 June | CFL | Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Toronto Argonauts | Toronto Argonauts | 2.95 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.95u |
| 26 June | FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs Australia | Paraguay | 2.10 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 21 June | MLB | Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals | Kansas City Royals | 2.25 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 21 June | Test Matches | England vs New Zealand | New Zealand | 3.00 | 1.0u | — | WON | +2.00u |
| 21 June | MLB | Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 2.65 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.65u |
| 16 June | FIFA World Cup | Iran vs New Zealand | Draw | 3.80 | 0.5u | — | WON | +1.40u |
| 15 June | NHL | Vegas Golden Knights vs Carolina Hurricanes | Vegas Golden Knights | 2.75 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 15 June | FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador | Ecuador | 2.40 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 14 June | NRL | Wests Tigers vs Gold Coast Titans | Gold Coast Titans | 2.63 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 14 June | AFL | St Kilda Saints vs Greater Western Sydney Giants | Greater Western Sydney Giants | 2.05 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 13 June | NRL | Parramatta Eels vs Canberra Raiders | Parramatta Eels | 2.20 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.20u |
| 13 June | AFL | North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles | West Coast Eagles | 2.35 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 13 June | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 3.40 | 0.5u | — | LOST | -0.50u |
| 12 June | NRL | Dolphins vs Sydney Roosters | Sydney Roosters | 2.50 | 1.0u | — | LOST | -1.00u |
| 12 June | NHL | Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights | Carolina Hurricanes | 2.35 | 1.0u | — | WON | +1.35u |
| 12 June | NHL | Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights | Vegas Golden Knights | 3.20 | 0.5u | — | LOST | -0.50u |
| Net · shown results | +6.73u | |||||||
Dallas Cowboys
@2.65 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Colorado Rockies
@2.65 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Austin FC
@2.60 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
New Zealand Breakers
@3.20 · 0.5u · CLV —
-0.50u
Minnesota Twins
@2.17 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.17u
Illawarra Hawks
@2.38 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Perth Wildcats
@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.25u
Cairns Taipans
@2.02 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.02u
Halmstads BK
@3.70 · 0.5u · CLV —
+1.35u
S.E. Melbourne Phoenix
@2.28 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.28u
Los Angeles Angels
@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.35u
Miami Dolphins
@2.72 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Atlanta Braves
@2.20 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.20u
Cagliari
@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV —
+1.15u
Essendon Bombers
@2.60 · 0.5u · CLV —
-0.50u
New England Patriots
@2.90 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Rosario Central
@2.60 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.60u
New York City FC
@2.45 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Los Angeles Dodgers
@2.30 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
St Kilda Saints
@2.15 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
@3.95 · 0.5u · CLV —
-0.50u
Luciano Darderi
@2.30 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.30u
Toronto Blue Jays
@2.31 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.31u
Chicago Cubs
@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV —
+2.00u
Boston Red Sox
@2.20 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.20u
Kalmar FF
@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV —
-0.50u
France
@2.60 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
New York Yankees
@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Pittsburgh Pirates
@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.10u
Colorado Rockies
@2.43 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Melbourne Demons
@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV —
+1.25u
Shuai Zhang
@2.65 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.65u
Algeria
@3.60 · 0.5u · CLV —
-0.50u
Uzbekistan
@3.80 · 0.5u · CLV —
-0.50u
Toronto Argonauts
@2.95 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.95u
Paraguay
@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Kansas City Royals
@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
New Zealand
@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV —
+2.00u
Los Angeles Angels
@2.65 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.65u
Draw
@3.80 · 0.5u · CLV —
+1.40u
Vegas Golden Knights
@2.75 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Ecuador
@2.40 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Gold Coast Titans
@2.63 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Greater Western Sydney Giants
@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Parramatta Eels
@2.20 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.20u
West Coast Eagles
@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Philadelphia Phillies
@3.40 · 0.5u · CLV —
-0.50u
Sydney Roosters
@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV —
-1.00u
Carolina Hurricanes
@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV —
+1.35u
Vegas Golden Knights
@3.20 · 0.5u · CLV —
-0.50u
Net · shown results
+6.73u
Stakes are recorded model units; one unit represents one percent of bankroll. CLV uses a verified tip price and a sampled closing price from the same bookmaker. A dash means no verified measurement. Prices issued before 24 October 2026 remain unverified. Later settlements and corrections appear in the dated results updates.
SEEN ENOUGH?
Everything above updates as the pipeline settles. If the ledger reads like something you’d want in your inbox, membership is free until 31 October 2026 — no card required — and after that you pay only on green weeks.
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