The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,065

Win Rate

44.0%

Net Units

-4.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 21 Jun 2026 00:25 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

  1. W10
  2. W11
  3. W12
  4. W13
  5. W14
  6. W15
  7. W16
  8. W17
  9. W18
  10. W19
  11. W20
  12. W21
  13. W22
  14. W23
  15. W24
  16. W25

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

16 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,063 rows · page 3 of 22

MLB16 May

Toronto Blue Jays

@1.80 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.50u

NRL15 May

South Sydney Rabbitohs

@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV +5.56%

LOST

-1.00u

A-League15 May

Auckland FC

@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV +4.83%

WON

+2.00u

NRL15 May

Dolphins

@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV +13.72%

WON

+1.05u

NRL15 May

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks

@1.53 · 1.5u · CLV +1.31%

WON

+0.80u

NRL15 May

Canterbury Bulldogs

@2.60 · 1.0u · CLV +6.18%

LOST

-1.00u

MLB15 May

Kansas City Royals

@2.00 · 1.5u · CLV +9.52%

LOST

-1.50u

La Liga14 May

Girona

@2.15 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL14 May

Minnesota Wild

@3.75 · 0.5u · CLV +8.30%

LOST

-0.50u

MLB14 May

Miami Marlins

@1.80 · 1.5u · CLV +43.45%

WON

+1.20u

NHL13 May

Anaheim Ducks

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV +11.78%

LOST

-0.50u

La Liga12 May

Atlético Madrid

@2.55 · 1.0u · CLV -2.18%

WON

+1.55u

La Liga12 May

Celta Vigo

@1.73 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Italian Open12 May

Dino Prizmic

@1.58 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Italian Open12 May

Casper Ruud

@1.57 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.86u

NHL12 May

Minnesota Wild

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV +13.79%

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Italian Open12 May

Mariano Navone

@2.42 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Italian Open12 May

Brandon Nakashima

@1.60 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Italian Open12 May

Nikoloz Basilashvili

@2.48 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.48u

Primeira Liga11 May

Tondela

@2.00 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

WON

+1.50u

Primeira Liga11 May

Vitória SC

@1.76 · 1.5u · CLV +34.92%

LOST

-1.50u

Boxing11 May

Misael Rodriguez Olivas

@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

Brasileirão11 May

Vasco da Gama

@2.00 · 1.5u · CLV +2.08%

WON

+1.50u

La Liga10 May

Mallorca

@2.62 · 1.0u · CLV +37.59%

LOST

-1.00u

MMA10 May

Marco Tulio Silva

@1.55 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA10 May

Grant Dawson

@1.67 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.00u

MMA10 May

William Gomis

@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

MMA10 May

Pat Sabatini

@1.50 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.75u

MMA10 May

Yaroslav Amosov

@1.58 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.87u

MMA10 May

Tatsuro Taira

@1.60 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Italian Open10 May

Cristian Garin

@2.32 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

MMA10 May

Alexander Volkov

@1.59 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.89u

ATP Italian Open10 May

Hamad Medjedovic

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.85u

MMA10 May

Joaquin Buckley

@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NRL10 May

Melbourne Storm

@1.48 · 1.5u · CLV +5.43%

WON

+0.72u

NHL10 May

Minnesota Wild

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV -1.19%

WON

+1.85u

Boxing10 May

Daniel Dubois

@2.07 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.07u

MMA10 May

Jose Ochoa

@1.56 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.84u

NHL10 May

Philadelphia Flyers

@3.60 · 0.5u · CLV +8.99%

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Italian Open09 May

Corentin Moutet

@1.75 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Italian Open09 May

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

@2.15 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.15u

Scottish Premiership09 May

Dundee FC

@1.90 · 1.5u · CLV +1.42%

WON

+1.35u

International T2009 May

Cyprus

@2.12 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NRL09 May

Brisbane Broncos

@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV +3.85%

LOST

-1.00u

NRL09 May

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles

@1.82 · 1.5u · CLV +5.30%

WON

+1.23u

AFL09 May

St Kilda Saints

@3.70 · 0.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-0.50u

NRL09 May

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks

@1.66 · 1.5u · CLV -13.73%

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Italian Open09 May

Vit Kopriva

@1.61 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

NRL09 May

St George Illawarra Dragons

@3.40 · 0.5u · CLV +0.89%

LOST

-0.50u

MLB09 May

Cincinnati Reds

@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV +9.52%

LOST

-1.00u

Net · last 0d

-5.99u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

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