The Public Ledger
EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.
Every settled bet since the current model went live on 19 May 2026, pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted. What ran before 19 May was pre-launch testing under earlier models; it isn’t part of this record, and no one was charged during it.
Settled Bets
74
Win Rate
44.6%
Net Units
+10.38u
Avg CLV*
+0.15%
Last updated: 19 Sep 2026 13:51 GMT+10
*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.
Every week since launch
Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall
- W21
- W22
- W23
- W24
- W25
- W26
- W27
- W28
- W29
- W30
- W31
- W32
- W33
- W34
- W37
- W38
The drawdown
THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.
Equity & drawdown
16 weeks · cumulative units
SETTLED BETS · SINCE 19 MAY 2026
74 rows · page 2 of 2
| Settled | Sport | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | CLV | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 June | One Day Internationals | West Indies vs Sri Lanka | West Indies | 2.29 | 1.0u | +16.94% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 03 June | NHL | Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights | Vegas Golden Knights | 3.15 | 0.5u | +9.58% | WON | +1.08u |
| 02 June | MLB | Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals | 2.55 | 1.0u | +6.66% | WON | +1.55u |
| 31 May | NRL | Penrith Panthers vs New Zealand Warriors | New Zealand Warriors | 2.08 | 1.0u | -0.46% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 31 May | NRL | Canberra Raiders vs North Queensland Cowboys | North Queensland Cowboys | 2.35 | 1.0u | +2.29% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 30 May | One Day Internationals | Pakistan vs Australia | Australia | 2.10 | 1.0u | -1.75% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 30 May | UEFA Champions League | Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal | Arsenal | 3.60 | 0.5u | +2.53% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 30 May | NRL | Melbourne Storm vs Sydney Roosters | Melbourne Storm | 2.05 | 1.0u | +2.50% | WON | +1.05u |
| 30 May | AFL | Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers | Fremantle Dockers | 2.15 | 1.0u | +2.51% | WON | +1.15u |
| 29 May | NRL | Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 2.17 | 1.0u | +5.73% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 28 May | NHL | Montréal Canadiens vs Carolina Hurricanes | Montréal Canadiens | 3.20 | 0.5u | +15.26% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 27 May | MLB | San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 2.25 | 1.0u | +6.84% | WON | +1.25u |
| 27 May | NHL | Vegas Golden Knights vs Colorado Avalanche | Vegas Golden Knights | 2.70 | 1.0u | +15.59% | WON | +1.70u |
| 26 May | NHL | Montréal Canadiens vs Carolina Hurricanes | Montréal Canadiens | 3.00 | 1.0u | +0.00% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 25 May | NHL | Vegas Golden Knights vs Colorado Avalanche | Vegas Golden Knights | 3.15 | 0.5u | +10.99% | WON | +1.08u |
| 24 May | AFL | Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Brisbane Lions | Greater Western Sydney Giants | 2.50 | 1.0u | +1.32% | WON | +1.50u |
| 23 May | MLB | Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox | 2.06 | 1.0u | +3.81% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 23 May | Serie A | Bologna vs Inter Milan | Bologna | 3.30 | 0.5u | +3.71% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 23 May | AFL | Port Adelaide Power vs Carlton Blues | Carlton Blues | 2.50 | 1.0u | +3.86% | WON | +1.50u |
| 23 May | NHL | Colorado Avalanche vs Vegas Golden Knights | Vegas Golden Knights | 3.45 | 0.5u | +6.73% | WON | +1.23u |
| 22 May | NRL | Canterbury Bulldogs vs Melbourne Storm | Melbourne Storm | 2.30 | 1.0u | +10.87% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 22 May | NHL | Carolina Hurricanes vs Montréal Canadiens | Montréal Canadiens | 3.75 | 0.5u | +14.15% | WON | +1.38u |
| 21 May | NHL | Colorado Avalanche vs Vegas Golden Knights | Vegas Golden Knights | 3.35 | 0.5u | +6.91% | WON | +1.18u |
| 21 May | MLB | Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians | Detroit Tigers | 2.14 | 1.0u | +0.00% | LOST | -1.00u |
| Net · shown results | +5.15u | |||||||
West Indies
@2.29 · 1.0u · CLV +16.94%
-1.00u
Vegas Golden Knights
@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV +9.58%
+1.08u
Kansas City Royals
@2.55 · 1.0u · CLV +6.66%
+1.55u
New Zealand Warriors
@2.08 · 1.0u · CLV -0.46%
-1.00u
North Queensland Cowboys
@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV +2.29%
-1.00u
Australia
@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV -1.75%
-1.00u
Arsenal
@3.60 · 0.5u · CLV +2.53%
-0.50u
Melbourne Storm
@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV +2.50%
+1.05u
Fremantle Dockers
@2.15 · 1.0u · CLV +2.51%
+1.15u
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
@2.17 · 1.0u · CLV +5.73%
-1.00u
Montréal Canadiens
@3.20 · 0.5u · CLV +15.26%
-0.50u
Philadelphia Phillies
@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV +6.84%
+1.25u
Vegas Golden Knights
@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV +15.59%
+1.70u
Montréal Canadiens
@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%
-1.00u
Vegas Golden Knights
@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV +10.99%
+1.08u
Greater Western Sydney Giants
@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +1.32%
+1.50u
Boston Red Sox
@2.06 · 1.0u · CLV +3.81%
-1.00u
Bologna
@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +3.71%
-0.50u
Carlton Blues
@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +3.86%
+1.50u
Vegas Golden Knights
@3.45 · 0.5u · CLV +6.73%
+1.23u
Melbourne Storm
@2.30 · 1.0u · CLV +10.87%
-1.00u
Montréal Canadiens
@3.75 · 0.5u · CLV +14.15%
+1.38u
Vegas Golden Knights
@3.35 · 0.5u · CLV +6.91%
+1.18u
Detroit Tigers
@2.14 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%
-1.00u
Net · shown results
+5.15u
Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.
SEEN ENOUGH?
Everything above updates as the pipeline settles. If the ledger reads like something you’d want in your inbox, membership is free until 31 October 2026 — no card required — and after that you pay only on green weeks.
18+ only. Informational only. You place your own bets at your own bookmaker. We never hold your money. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Gambler's Help: 1800 858 858.