The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,065

Win Rate

44.0%

Net Units

-4.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 20 Jun 2026 23:03 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

16 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,063 rows · page 2 of 22

Settled	Sport	Event	Selection	Odds	Stake	CLV	Result	P/L
24 May	EPL	Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers	Burnley	2.50	1.0u	+2.19%	LOST	-1.00u
24 May	AFL	Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons	Melbourne Demons	2.05	1.0u	-0.24%	LOST	-1.00u
24 May	AFL	Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Brisbane Lions	Greater Western Sydney Giants	2.50	1.0u	+1.32%	WON	+1.50u
23 May	MLB	Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins	Boston Red Sox	2.06	1.0u	+3.81%	LOST	-1.00u
23 May	Serie A	Bologna vs Inter Milan	Bologna	3.30	0.5u	+3.71%	LOST	-0.50u
23 May	AFL	Port Adelaide Power vs Carlton Blues	Carlton Blues	2.50	1.0u	+3.86%	WON	+1.50u
23 May	AFL	Geelong Cats vs Sydney Swans	Geelong Cats	1.60	1.5u	+0.79%	WON	+0.90u
23 May	NHL	Colorado Avalanche vs Vegas Golden Knights	Vegas Golden Knights	3.45	0.5u	+6.73%	WON	+1.23u
22 May	NRL	Canterbury Bulldogs vs Melbourne Storm	Canterbury Bulldogs	1.90	1.5u	+0.28%	WON	+1.35u
22 May	NRL	Canterbury Bulldogs vs Melbourne Storm	Melbourne Storm	2.30	1.0u	+10.87%	LOST	-1.00u
22 May	NHL	Carolina Hurricanes vs Montréal Canadiens	Montréal Canadiens	3.75	0.5u	+14.15%	WON	+1.38u
21 May	NHL	Colorado Avalanche vs Vegas Golden Knights	Vegas Golden Knights	3.35	0.5u	+6.91%	WON	+1.18u
21 May	MLB	Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians	Detroit Tigers	2.14	1.0u	+0.00%	LOST	-1.00u
20 May	Test Matches	Bangladesh vs Pakistan	Draw	1.72	1.5u	-5.78%	LOST	-1.50u
19 May	MMA	Mitch Raposo vs Allan Nascimento	Mitch Raposo	3.17	0.5u	+67.46%	VOID	+0.00u
19 May	MMA	Modestas Bukauskas vs Rodolfo Bellato	Modestas Bukauskas	1.87	1.5u	+1.17%	VOID	+0.00u
19 May	MMA	Modestas Bukauskas vs Rodolfo Bellato	Rodolfo Bellato	2.05	1.0u	+1.98%	VOID	+0.00u
19 May	NBA	Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic	Philadelphia 76ers	2.45	1.0u	+12.38%	WON	+1.45u
17 May	Ligue 1	Lorient vs Le Havre	Lorient	2.24	1.0u	-6.18%	LOST	-1.00u
17 May	Ligue 1	Marseille vs Rennes	Marseille	2.10	1.0u	+3.14%	WON	+1.10u
17 May	Ligue 1	Strasbourg vs AS Monaco	AS Monaco	2.40	1.0u	+2.78%	LOST	-1.00u
17 May	Ligue 1	Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain	Paris Saint Germain	1.44	1.5u	-0.95%	LOST	-1.50u
17 May	La Liga	Sevilla vs Real Madrid	Real Madrid	2.10	1.0u	+2.38%	WON	+1.10u
17 May	La Liga	Oviedo vs Alavés	Alavés	2.35	1.0u	-1.23%	WON	+1.35u
17 May	La Liga	Elche CF vs Getafe	Elche CF	2.30	1.0u	+25.49%	WON	+1.30u
17 May	MMA	Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz	Malcolm Wellmaker	1.42	1.5u	—	LOST	-1.50u
17 May	MMA	Nikolay Veretennikov vs Khaos Williams	Nikolay Veretennikov	2.01	1.0u	—	LOST	-1.00u
17 May	MMA	Dooho Choi vs Daniel Santos	Daniel Santos	1.60	1.5u	—	LOST	-1.50u
17 May	MMA	Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa	Arnold Allen	1.55	1.5u	—	WON	+0.83u
17 May	MMA	Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa	Melquizael Costa	2.30	1.0u	—	LOST	-1.00u
17 May	MMA	Timothy Cuamba vs Benardo Sopaj	Benardo Sopaj	1.67	1.5u	—	WON	+1.00u
17 May	MMA	Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana	Alice Ardelean	1.52	1.5u	—	WON	+0.78u
17 May	MMA	Tuco Tokkos vs Ivan Erslan	Ivan Erslan	1.61	1.5u	—	WON	+0.92u
17 May	MMA	Cody Brundage vs Andre Petroski	Cody Brundage	2.50	1.0u	—	WON	+1.50u
17 May	NRL	Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights	Gold Coast Titans	3.25	0.5u	+3.01%	LOST	-0.50u
17 May	NRL	Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights	Newcastle Knights	1.46	1.5u	+3.97%	WON	+0.69u
17 May	NHL	Montréal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres	Buffalo Sabres	3.45	0.5u	+12.68%	WON	+1.23u
17 May	MLB	New York Mets vs New York Yankees	New York Yankees	1.77	1.5u	+0.65%	LOST	-1.50u
17 May	Boxing	Michael Gomez Jr vs Lee McGregor	Lee McGregor	3.10	0.5u	—	LOST	-0.50u
17 May	MMA	Daniel Barez vs Luis Gurule	Daniel Barez	1.92	1.5u	—	LOST	-1.50u
17 May	MMA	Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari	Nicolle Caliari	1.45	1.5u	—	WON	+0.68u
17 May	MMA	Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari	Shauna Bannon	2.85	1.0u	—	LOST	-1.00u
16 May	Primeira Liga	Moreirense FC vs AVS Futebol SAD	Moreirense FC	1.82	1.5u	+0.30%	LOST	-1.50u
16 May	Bundesliga	1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05	FSV Mainz 05	2.70	1.0u	+0.84%	WON	+1.70u
16 May	Bundesliga	1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05	1. FC Heidenheim	2.60	1.0u	+6.99%	LOST	-1.00u
16 May	Bundesliga	FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg	VfL Wolfsburg	2.60	1.0u	+37.30%	WON	+1.60u
16 May	NRL	Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm	Melbourne Storm	1.46	1.5u	+0.47%	WON	+0.69u
16 May	AFL	Melbourne Demons vs Hawthorn Hawks	Melbourne Demons	3.10	0.5u	+2.83%	WON	+1.05u
16 May	Boxing	Karen Chukhadzhian vs Paddy Donovan	Karen Chukhadzhian	1.67	1.5u	—	LOST	-1.50u
16 May	AFL	Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	North Melbourne Kangaroos	3.05	0.5u	+0.00%	LOST	-0.50u
Net · last 0 days								+3.01u

EPL24 May

Burnley

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +2.19%

LOST

-1.00u

AFL24 May

Melbourne Demons

@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV -0.24%

LOST

-1.00u

AFL24 May

Greater Western Sydney Giants

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +1.32%

WON

+1.50u

MLB23 May

Boston Red Sox

@2.06 · 1.0u · CLV +3.81%

LOST

-1.00u

Serie A23 May

Bologna

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +3.71%

LOST

-0.50u

AFL23 May

Carlton Blues

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +3.86%

WON

+1.50u

AFL23 May

Geelong Cats

@1.60 · 1.5u · CLV +0.79%

WON

+0.90u

NHL23 May

Vegas Golden Knights

@3.45 · 0.5u · CLV +6.73%

WON

+1.23u

NRL22 May

Canterbury Bulldogs

@1.90 · 1.5u · CLV +0.28%

WON

+1.35u

NRL22 May

Melbourne Storm

@2.30 · 1.0u · CLV +10.87%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL22 May

Montréal Canadiens

@3.75 · 0.5u · CLV +14.15%

WON

+1.38u

NHL21 May

Vegas Golden Knights

@3.35 · 0.5u · CLV +6.91%

WON

+1.18u

MLB21 May

Detroit Tigers

@2.14 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.00u

Test Matches20 May

Draw

@1.72 · 1.5u · CLV -5.78%

LOST

-1.50u

MMA19 May

Mitch Raposo

@3.17 · 0.5u · CLV +67.46%

VOID

+0.00u

MMA19 May

Modestas Bukauskas

@1.87 · 1.5u · CLV +1.17%

VOID

+0.00u

MMA19 May

Rodolfo Bellato

@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV +1.98%

VOID

+0.00u

NBA19 May

Philadelphia 76ers

@2.45 · 1.0u · CLV +12.38%

WON

+1.45u

Ligue 117 May

Lorient

@2.24 · 1.0u · CLV -6.18%

LOST

-1.00u

Ligue 117 May

Marseille

@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV +3.14%

WON

+1.10u

Ligue 117 May

AS Monaco

@2.40 · 1.0u · CLV +2.78%

LOST

-1.00u

Ligue 117 May

Paris Saint Germain

@1.44 · 1.5u · CLV -0.95%

LOST

-1.50u

La Liga17 May

Real Madrid

@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV +2.38%

WON

+1.10u

La Liga17 May

Alavés

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV -1.23%

WON

+1.35u

La Liga17 May

Elche CF

@2.30 · 1.0u · CLV +25.49%

WON

+1.30u

MMA17 May

Malcolm Wellmaker

@1.42 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA17 May

Nikolay Veretennikov

@2.01 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

MMA17 May

Daniel Santos

@1.60 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA17 May

Arnold Allen

@1.55 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.83u

MMA17 May

Melquizael Costa

@2.30 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

MMA17 May

Benardo Sopaj

@1.67 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.00u

MMA17 May

Alice Ardelean

@1.52 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.78u

MMA17 May

Ivan Erslan

@1.61 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.92u

MMA17 May

Cody Brundage

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.50u

NRL17 May

Gold Coast Titans

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV +3.01%

LOST

-0.50u

NRL17 May

Newcastle Knights

@1.46 · 1.5u · CLV +3.97%

WON

+0.69u

NHL17 May

Buffalo Sabres

@3.45 · 0.5u · CLV +12.68%

WON

+1.23u

MLB17 May

New York Yankees

@1.77 · 1.5u · CLV +0.65%

LOST

-1.50u

Boxing17 May

Lee McGregor

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

MMA17 May

Daniel Barez

@1.92 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA17 May

Nicolle Caliari

@1.45 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.68u

MMA17 May

Shauna Bannon

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

Primeira Liga16 May

Moreirense FC

@1.82 · 1.5u · CLV +0.30%

LOST

-1.50u

Bundesliga16 May

FSV Mainz 05

@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV +0.84%

WON

+1.70u

Bundesliga16 May

1. FC Heidenheim

@2.60 · 1.0u · CLV +6.99%

LOST

-1.00u

Bundesliga16 May

VfL Wolfsburg

@2.60 · 1.0u · CLV +37.30%

WON

+1.60u

NRL16 May

Melbourne Storm

@1.46 · 1.5u · CLV +0.47%

WON

+0.69u

AFL16 May

Melbourne Demons

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV +2.83%

WON

+1.05u

Boxing16 May

Karen Chukhadzhian

@1.67 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

AFL16 May

North Melbourne Kangaroos

@3.05 · 0.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-0.50u

Net · last 0d

+3.01u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

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