The Public Ledger
EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.
Every settled bet since the current model went live on 19 May 2026, pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted. What ran before 19 May was pre-launch testing under earlier models; it isn’t part of this record, and no one was charged during it.
Settled Bets
60
Win Rate
43.3%
Net Units
+6.97u
Avg CLV*
+0.17%
Last updated: 5 Aug 2026 07:44 GMT+10
*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.
Every week since launch
Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall
- W21
- W22
- W23
- W24
- W25
- W26
- W27
- W28
- W29
- W30
- W31
- W32
The drawdown
THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.
Equity & drawdown
12 weeks · cumulative units
SETTLED BETS · SINCE 19 MAY 2026
60 rows · page 2 of 2
| Settled | Sport | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | CLV | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | NHL | Vegas Golden Knights vs Colorado Avalanche | Vegas Golden Knights | 3.15 | 0.5u | +10.99% | WON | +1.08u |
| 24 May | AFL | Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Brisbane Lions | Greater Western Sydney Giants | 2.50 | 1.0u | +1.32% | WON | +1.50u |
| 23 May | MLB | Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox | 2.06 | 1.0u | +3.81% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 23 May | Serie A | Bologna vs Inter Milan | Bologna | 3.30 | 0.5u | +3.71% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 23 May | AFL | Port Adelaide Power vs Carlton Blues | Carlton Blues | 2.50 | 1.0u | +3.86% | WON | +1.50u |
| 23 May | NHL | Colorado Avalanche vs Vegas Golden Knights | Vegas Golden Knights | 3.45 | 0.5u | +6.73% | WON | +1.23u |
| 22 May | NRL | Canterbury Bulldogs vs Melbourne Storm | Melbourne Storm | 2.30 | 1.0u | +10.87% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 22 May | NHL | Carolina Hurricanes vs Montréal Canadiens | Montréal Canadiens | 3.75 | 0.5u | +14.15% | WON | +1.38u |
| 21 May | NHL | Colorado Avalanche vs Vegas Golden Knights | Vegas Golden Knights | 3.35 | 0.5u | +6.91% | WON | +1.18u |
| 21 May | MLB | Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians | Detroit Tigers | 2.14 | 1.0u | +0.00% | LOST | -1.00u |
| Net · last 0 days | +4.37u | |||||||
Vegas Golden Knights
@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV +10.99%
+1.08u
Greater Western Sydney Giants
@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +1.32%
+1.50u
Boston Red Sox
@2.06 · 1.0u · CLV +3.81%
-1.00u
Bologna
@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +3.71%
-0.50u
Carlton Blues
@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +3.86%
+1.50u
Vegas Golden Knights
@3.45 · 0.5u · CLV +6.73%
+1.23u
Melbourne Storm
@2.30 · 1.0u · CLV +10.87%
-1.00u
Montréal Canadiens
@3.75 · 0.5u · CLV +14.15%
+1.38u
Vegas Golden Knights
@3.35 · 0.5u · CLV +6.91%
+1.18u
Detroit Tigers
@2.14 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%
-1.00u
Net · last 0d
+4.37u
Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.
SEEN ENOUGH?
Everything above updates as the pipeline settles. If the ledger reads like something you’d want in your inbox, membership is free until 30 September 2026 — no card required — and after that you pay only on green weeks.
18+ only. Informational only. You place your own bets at your own bookmaker. We never hold your money. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Gambler's Help: 1800 858 858.