The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,065

Win Rate

44.0%

Net Units

-4.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 21 Jun 2026 00:29 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

  1. W10
  2. W11
  3. W12
  4. W13
  5. W14
  6. W15
  7. W16
  8. W17
  9. W18
  10. W19
  11. W20
  12. W21
  13. W22
  14. W23
  15. W24
  16. W25

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

16 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,063 rows · page 1 of 22

FIFA World Cup19 June

USA

@1.74 · 1.5u · CLV +7.89%

WON

+1.11u

FIFA World Cup19 June

Mexico

@1.94 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

WON

+1.41u

FIFA World Cup18 June

Colombia

@1.48 · 1.5u · CLV +5.96%

WON

+0.72u

FIFA World Cup18 June

Ghana

@2.00 · 1.5u · CLV +2.91%

WON

+1.50u

FIFA World Cup16 June

Draw

@3.80 · 0.5u · CLV +1.46%

WON

+1.40u

MMA15 June

Ciryl Gane

@1.98 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

WON

+1.47u

MMA15 June

Alex Pereira

@2.08 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL15 June

Vegas Golden Knights

@2.75 · 1.0u · CLV +12.18%

LOST

-1.00u

FIFA World Cup15 June

Ecuador

@2.40 · 1.0u · CLV +2.78%

LOST

-1.00u

FIFA World Cup14 June

Netherlands

@2.02 · 1.0u · CLV +1.78%

LOST

-1.00u

NRL14 June

Gold Coast Titans

@2.63 · 1.0u · CLV -3.18%

LOST

-1.00u

AFL14 June

Greater Western Sydney Giants

@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV +1.22%

LOST

-1.00u

FIFA World Cup14 June

Turkey

@1.95 · 1.5u · CLV +0.26%

LOST

-1.50u

NRL13 June

Parramatta Eels

@2.20 · 1.0u · CLV +1.06%

WON

+1.20u

AFL13 June

West Coast Eagles

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV +1.89%

LOST

-1.00u

FIFA World Cup13 June

Paraguay

@4.00 · 0.5u · CLV +1.32%

LOST

-0.50u

MLB13 June

Philadelphia Phillies

@3.40 · 0.5u · CLV +1.84%

LOST

-0.50u

FIFA World Cup12 June

Canada

@1.98 · 1.5u · CLV +4.44%

LOST

-1.50u

NRL12 June

Sydney Roosters

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +2.37%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL12 June

Vegas Golden Knights

@3.20 · 0.5u · CLV +10.07%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL12 June

Carolina Hurricanes

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV +18.05%

WON

+1.35u

NRL11 June

Brisbane Broncos

@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV +29.63%

LOST

-1.00u

One Day Internationals09 June

Bangladesh

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +3.48%

WON

+1.50u

One Day Internationals09 June

West Indies

@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV +1.16%

LOST

-1.00u

NRL08 June

Parramatta Eels

@2.60 · 1.0u · CLV +3.56%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL07 June

Vegas Golden Knights

@2.65 · 1.0u · CLV +14.90%

WON

+1.65u

AFL06 June

Brisbane Lions

@2.75 · 1.0u · CLV +3.64%

WON

+1.75u

AFL05 June

Western Bulldogs

@3.34 · 0.5u · CLV +12.79%

WON

+1.17u

NRL05 June

Canberra Raiders

@2.30 · 1.0u · CLV +2.39%

LOST

-1.00u

NRL05 June

Newcastle Knights

@2.45 · 1.0u · CLV +9.18%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL05 June

Vegas Golden Knights

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV +10.55%

LOST

-0.50u

One Day Internationals04 June

West Indies

@2.29 · 1.0u · CLV +16.94%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL03 June

Vegas Golden Knights

@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV +9.58%

WON

+1.08u

MLB02 June

Kansas City Royals

@2.55 · 1.0u · CLV +6.66%

WON

+1.55u

NRL31 May

New Zealand Warriors

@2.08 · 1.0u · CLV -0.46%

LOST

-1.00u

NRL31 May

North Queensland Cowboys

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV +2.29%

LOST

-1.00u

One Day Internationals30 May

Australia

@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV -1.75%

LOST

-1.00u

UEFA Champions League30 May

Paris Saint Germain

@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV -2.43%

LOST

-1.00u

UEFA Champions League30 May

Arsenal

@3.60 · 0.5u · CLV +2.53%

LOST

-0.50u

NRL30 May

Melbourne Storm

@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV +2.50%

WON

+1.05u

AFL30 May

Fremantle Dockers

@2.15 · 1.0u · CLV +2.51%

WON

+1.15u

NRL29 May

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles

@2.17 · 1.0u · CLV +5.73%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL28 May

Montréal Canadiens

@3.20 · 0.5u · CLV +15.26%

LOST

-0.50u

MLB27 May

Philadelphia Phillies

@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV +6.84%

WON

+1.25u

NHL27 May

Vegas Golden Knights

@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV +15.59%

WON

+1.70u

NHL26 May

Montréal Canadiens

@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL25 May

Vegas Golden Knights

@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV +10.99%

WON

+1.08u

Serie A24 May

Juventus

@1.47 · 1.5u · CLV +3.92%

LOST

-1.50u

La Liga24 May

Villarreal

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +2.37%

WON

+1.50u

EPL24 May

Burnley

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +2.19%

LOST

-1.00u

Net · last 0d

-1.91u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

SEEN ENOUGH?

Everything above updates as the pipeline settles. If the ledger reads like something you’d want in your inbox, membership is free until 31 July 2026 — no card required — and after that you pay only on green weeks.

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