The Public Ledger
EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.
Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.
Settled Bets
1,065
Win Rate
44.0%
Net Units
-4.58u
Avg CLV*
+0.19%
Last updated: 21 Jun 2026 00:29 GMT+10
*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.
Every week since launch
Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall
- W10
- W11
- W12
- W13
- W14
- W15
- W16
- W17
- W18
- W19
- W20
- W21
- W22
- W23
- W24
- W25
The drawdown
THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.
Equity & drawdown
16 weeks · cumulative units
SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME
1,063 rows · page 1 of 22
| Settled | Sport | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | CLV | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 June | FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia | USA | 1.74 | 1.5u | +7.89% | WON | +1.11u |
| 19 June | FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs South Korea | Mexico | 1.94 | 1.5u | +0.00% | WON | +1.41u |
| 18 June | FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia | Colombia | 1.48 | 1.5u | +5.96% | WON | +0.72u |
| 18 June | FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama | Ghana | 2.00 | 1.5u | +2.91% | WON | +1.50u |
| 16 June | FIFA World Cup | Iran vs New Zealand | Draw | 3.80 | 0.5u | +1.46% | WON | +1.40u |
| 15 June | MMA | Alex Pereira vs Ciryl Gane | Ciryl Gane | 1.98 | 1.5u | +0.00% | WON | +1.47u |
| 15 June | MMA | Alex Pereira vs Ciryl Gane | Alex Pereira | 2.08 | 1.0u | +0.00% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 15 June | NHL | Vegas Golden Knights vs Carolina Hurricanes | Vegas Golden Knights | 2.75 | 1.0u | +12.18% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 15 June | FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador | Ecuador | 2.40 | 1.0u | +2.78% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 14 June | FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan | Netherlands | 2.02 | 1.0u | +1.78% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 14 June | NRL | Wests Tigers vs Gold Coast Titans | Gold Coast Titans | 2.63 | 1.0u | -3.18% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 14 June | AFL | St Kilda Saints vs Greater Western Sydney Giants | Greater Western Sydney Giants | 2.05 | 1.0u | +1.22% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 14 June | FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkey | Turkey | 1.95 | 1.5u | +0.26% | LOST | -1.50u |
| 13 June | NRL | Parramatta Eels vs Canberra Raiders | Parramatta Eels | 2.20 | 1.0u | +1.06% | WON | +1.20u |
| 13 June | AFL | North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles | West Coast Eagles | 2.35 | 1.0u | +1.89% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 13 June | FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay | Paraguay | 4.00 | 0.5u | +1.32% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 13 June | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 3.40 | 0.5u | +1.84% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 12 June | FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | Canada | 1.98 | 1.5u | +4.44% | LOST | -1.50u |
| 12 June | NRL | Dolphins vs Sydney Roosters | Sydney Roosters | 2.50 | 1.0u | +2.37% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 12 June | NHL | Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights | Vegas Golden Knights | 3.20 | 0.5u | +10.07% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 12 June | NHL | Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights | Carolina Hurricanes | 2.35 | 1.0u | +18.05% | WON | +1.35u |
| 11 June | NRL | South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Brisbane Broncos | Brisbane Broncos | 2.70 | 1.0u | +29.63% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 09 June | One Day Internationals | Bangladesh vs Australia | Bangladesh | 2.50 | 1.0u | +3.48% | WON | +1.50u |
| 09 June | One Day Internationals | West Indies vs Sri Lanka | West Indies | 2.10 | 1.0u | +1.16% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 08 June | NRL | Canterbury Bulldogs vs Parramatta Eels | Parramatta Eels | 2.60 | 1.0u | +3.56% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 07 June | NHL | Vegas Golden Knights vs Carolina Hurricanes | Vegas Golden Knights | 2.65 | 1.0u | +14.90% | WON | +1.65u |
| 06 June | AFL | Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions | Brisbane Lions | 2.75 | 1.0u | +3.64% | WON | +1.75u |
| 05 June | AFL | Hawthorn Hawks vs Western Bulldogs | Western Bulldogs | 3.34 | 0.5u | +12.79% | WON | +1.17u |
| 05 June | NRL | Canberra Raiders vs Sydney Roosters | Canberra Raiders | 2.30 | 1.0u | +2.39% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 05 June | NRL | Melbourne Storm vs Newcastle Knights | Newcastle Knights | 2.45 | 1.0u | +9.18% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 05 June | NHL | Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights | Vegas Golden Knights | 3.25 | 0.5u | +10.55% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 04 June | One Day Internationals | West Indies vs Sri Lanka | West Indies | 2.29 | 1.0u | +16.94% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 03 June | NHL | Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights | Vegas Golden Knights | 3.15 | 0.5u | +9.58% | WON | +1.08u |
| 02 June | MLB | Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals | 2.55 | 1.0u | +6.66% | WON | +1.55u |
| 31 May | NRL | Penrith Panthers vs New Zealand Warriors | New Zealand Warriors | 2.08 | 1.0u | -0.46% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 31 May | NRL | Canberra Raiders vs North Queensland Cowboys | North Queensland Cowboys | 2.35 | 1.0u | +2.29% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 30 May | One Day Internationals | Pakistan vs Australia | Australia | 2.10 | 1.0u | -1.75% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 30 May | UEFA Champions League | Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal | Paris Saint Germain | 2.25 | 1.0u | -2.43% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 30 May | UEFA Champions League | Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal | Arsenal | 3.60 | 0.5u | +2.53% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 30 May | NRL | Melbourne Storm vs Sydney Roosters | Melbourne Storm | 2.05 | 1.0u | +2.50% | WON | +1.05u |
| 30 May | AFL | Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers | Fremantle Dockers | 2.15 | 1.0u | +2.51% | WON | +1.15u |
| 29 May | NRL | Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 2.17 | 1.0u | +5.73% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 28 May | NHL | Montréal Canadiens vs Carolina Hurricanes | Montréal Canadiens | 3.20 | 0.5u | +15.26% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 27 May | MLB | San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 2.25 | 1.0u | +6.84% | WON | +1.25u |
| 27 May | NHL | Vegas Golden Knights vs Colorado Avalanche | Vegas Golden Knights | 2.70 | 1.0u | +15.59% | WON | +1.70u |
| 26 May | NHL | Montréal Canadiens vs Carolina Hurricanes | Montréal Canadiens | 3.00 | 1.0u | +0.00% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 25 May | NHL | Vegas Golden Knights vs Colorado Avalanche | Vegas Golden Knights | 3.15 | 0.5u | +10.99% | WON | +1.08u |
| 24 May | Serie A | Torino vs Juventus | Juventus | 1.47 | 1.5u | +3.92% | LOST | -1.50u |
| 24 May | La Liga | Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid | Villarreal | 2.50 | 1.0u | +2.37% | WON | +1.50u |
| 24 May | EPL | Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers | Burnley | 2.50 | 1.0u | +2.19% | LOST | -1.00u |
| Net · last 0 days | -1.91u | |||||||
USA
@1.74 · 1.5u · CLV +7.89%
+1.11u
Mexico
@1.94 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%
+1.41u
Colombia
@1.48 · 1.5u · CLV +5.96%
+0.72u
Ghana
@2.00 · 1.5u · CLV +2.91%
+1.50u
Draw
@3.80 · 0.5u · CLV +1.46%
+1.40u
Ciryl Gane
@1.98 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%
+1.47u
Alex Pereira
@2.08 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%
-1.00u
Vegas Golden Knights
@2.75 · 1.0u · CLV +12.18%
-1.00u
Ecuador
@2.40 · 1.0u · CLV +2.78%
-1.00u
Netherlands
@2.02 · 1.0u · CLV +1.78%
-1.00u
Gold Coast Titans
@2.63 · 1.0u · CLV -3.18%
-1.00u
Greater Western Sydney Giants
@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV +1.22%
-1.00u
Turkey
@1.95 · 1.5u · CLV +0.26%
-1.50u
Parramatta Eels
@2.20 · 1.0u · CLV +1.06%
+1.20u
West Coast Eagles
@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV +1.89%
-1.00u
Paraguay
@4.00 · 0.5u · CLV +1.32%
-0.50u
Philadelphia Phillies
@3.40 · 0.5u · CLV +1.84%
-0.50u
Canada
@1.98 · 1.5u · CLV +4.44%
-1.50u
Sydney Roosters
@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +2.37%
-1.00u
Vegas Golden Knights
@3.20 · 0.5u · CLV +10.07%
-0.50u
Carolina Hurricanes
@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV +18.05%
+1.35u
Brisbane Broncos
@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV +29.63%
-1.00u
Bangladesh
@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +3.48%
+1.50u
West Indies
@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV +1.16%
-1.00u
Parramatta Eels
@2.60 · 1.0u · CLV +3.56%
-1.00u
Vegas Golden Knights
@2.65 · 1.0u · CLV +14.90%
+1.65u
Brisbane Lions
@2.75 · 1.0u · CLV +3.64%
+1.75u
Western Bulldogs
@3.34 · 0.5u · CLV +12.79%
+1.17u
Canberra Raiders
@2.30 · 1.0u · CLV +2.39%
-1.00u
Newcastle Knights
@2.45 · 1.0u · CLV +9.18%
-1.00u
Vegas Golden Knights
@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV +10.55%
-0.50u
West Indies
@2.29 · 1.0u · CLV +16.94%
-1.00u
Vegas Golden Knights
@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV +9.58%
+1.08u
Kansas City Royals
@2.55 · 1.0u · CLV +6.66%
+1.55u
New Zealand Warriors
@2.08 · 1.0u · CLV -0.46%
-1.00u
North Queensland Cowboys
@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV +2.29%
-1.00u
Australia
@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV -1.75%
-1.00u
Paris Saint Germain
@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV -2.43%
-1.00u
Arsenal
@3.60 · 0.5u · CLV +2.53%
-0.50u
Melbourne Storm
@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV +2.50%
+1.05u
Fremantle Dockers
@2.15 · 1.0u · CLV +2.51%
+1.15u
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
@2.17 · 1.0u · CLV +5.73%
-1.00u
Montréal Canadiens
@3.20 · 0.5u · CLV +15.26%
-0.50u
Philadelphia Phillies
@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV +6.84%
+1.25u
Vegas Golden Knights
@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV +15.59%
+1.70u
Montréal Canadiens
@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%
-1.00u
Vegas Golden Knights
@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV +10.99%
+1.08u
Juventus
@1.47 · 1.5u · CLV +3.92%
-1.50u
Villarreal
@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +2.37%
+1.50u
Burnley
@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +2.19%
-1.00u
Net · last 0d
-1.91u
Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.
SEEN ENOUGH?
Everything above updates as the pipeline settles. If the ledger reads like something you’d want in your inbox, membership is free until 31 July 2026 — no card required — and after that you pay only on green weeks.
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