The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,069

Win Rate

44.2%

Net Units

-0.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 23 Jun 2026 13:14 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

  1. W10
  2. W11
  3. W12
  4. W13
  5. W14
  6. W15
  7. W16
  8. W17
  9. W18
  10. W19
  11. W20
  12. W21
  13. W22
  14. W23
  15. W24
  16. W25
  17. W26

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

17 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,067 rows · page 21 of 22

WTA Indian Wells07 Mar

Anna Bondár

@1.68 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.02u

WTA Indian Wells07 Mar

Lilli Tagger

@2.46 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.46u

ATP Indian Wells07 Mar

Alejandro Tabilo

@2.20 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.20u

ATP Indian Wells07 Mar

Rafael Jodar

@1.81 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

WTA Indian Wells07 Mar

Ella Seidel

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

WTA Indian Wells07 Mar

Elsa Jacquemot

@2.36 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Indian Wells07 Mar

Benjamin Bonzi

@1.87 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.31u

NHL07 Mar

Florida Panthers

@3.05 · 0.5u · CLV

WON

+1.02u

La Liga06 Mar

Celta Vigo

@3.55 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

Primeira Liga06 Mar

Famalicão

@1.82 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.23u

Eredivisie06 Mar

FC Utrecht

@2.02 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

T20 World Cup06 Mar

India

@1.50 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+0.75u

WTA Indian Wells06 Mar

Janice Tjen

@1.85 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Indian Wells06 Mar

Marin Cilic

@1.74 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

WTA Indian Wells06 Mar

Francesca Jones

@2.30 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

WTA Indian Wells06 Mar

Shuai Zhang

@2.06 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

WTA Indian Wells06 Mar

Lanlana Tararudee

@3.35 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

WTA Indian Wells06 Mar

Taylor Townsend

@1.91 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.36u

ATP Indian Wells06 Mar

Alexander Shevchenko

@2.26 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.26u

ATP Indian Wells06 Mar

Sho Shimabukuro

@1.74 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

WTA Indian Wells06 Mar

Kayla Day

@1.76 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.14u

ATP Indian Wells06 Mar

Grigor Dimitrov

@1.73 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.10u

ATP Indian Wells06 Mar

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

@2.22 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

WTA Indian Wells06 Mar

Donna Vekic

@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.70u

ATP Indian Wells06 Mar

Chun-Hsin Tseng

@3.55 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

WTA Indian Wells06 Mar

Tereza Valentova

@1.55 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Indian Wells06 Mar

Kamil Majchrzak

@1.75 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.13u

AFL06 Mar

Geelong Cats

@2.75 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

AFL06 Mar

Gold Coast Suns

@1.63 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+0.94u

NRL06 Mar

Brisbane Broncos

@1.87 · 1.5u · CLV -1.12%

LOST

-1.50u

NRL06 Mar

Penrith Panthers

@2.23 · 1.0u · CLV +2.78%

WON

+1.23u

NCAAB06 Mar

San Diego Toreros

@3.08 · 0.5u · CLV

WON

+1.04u

NBA06 Mar

Denver Nuggets

@1.54 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+0.81u

NBA06 Mar

Sacramento Kings

@2.67 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

NBA06 Mar

Los Angeles Lakers

@2.75 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

NBA06 Mar

New Orleans Pelicans

@1.58 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+0.87u

NCAAB06 Mar

South Dakota St Jackrabbits

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NCAAB06 Mar

Portland Pilots

@1.77 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.16u

NBA06 Mar

Toronto Raptors

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NCAAB06 Mar

Manhattan Jaspers

@3.11 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NBA06 Mar

San Antonio Spurs

@1.66 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+0.99u

NBA06 Mar

Minnesota Timberwolves

@1.45 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+0.68u

NBA06 Mar

Dallas Mavericks

@3.95 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NBA06 Mar

Washington Wizards

@1.80 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

NCAAB06 Mar

Indiana St Sycamores

@2.28 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

NBA06 Mar

Utah Jazz

@2.15 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.15u

NCAAB06 Mar

Sacred Heart Pioneers

@2.33 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.33u

NCAAB05 Mar

Drake Bulldogs

@2.94 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.94u

NCAAB05 Mar

Southern Illinois Salukis

@1.46 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

NRL05 Mar

Melbourne Storm

@1.47 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+0.71u

Net · last 0d

+3.03u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

SEEN ENOUGH?

Everything above updates as the pipeline settles. If the ledger reads like something you’d want in your inbox, membership is free until 31 July 2026 — no card required — and after that you pay only on green weeks.

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