The Public Ledger
EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.
Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.
Settled Bets
1,069
Win Rate
44.2%
Net Units
-0.58u
Avg CLV*
+0.19%
Last updated: 23 Jun 2026 14:41 GMT+10
*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.
Every week since launch
Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall
- W10
- W11
- W12
- W13
- W14
- W15
- W16
- W17
- W18
- W19
- W20
- W21
- W22
- W23
- W24
- W25
- W26
The drawdown
THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.
Equity & drawdown
17 weeks · cumulative units
SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME
1,067 rows · page 22 of 22
| Settled | Sport | Event | Selection | Odds | Stake | CLV | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar | NBA | Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks | Atlanta Hawks | 1.86 | 1.5u | -3.76% | WON | +1.29u |
| 05 Mar | NHL | Seattle Kraken vs St Louis Blues | St Louis Blues | 3.00 | 1.0u | +0.00% | WON | +2.00u |
| 05 Mar | NCAAB | Georgia Southern Eagles vs Old Dominion Monarchs | Georgia Southern Eagles | 1.95 | 1.5u | +6.86% | WON | +1.42u |
| 05 Mar | NCAAB | Detroit Mercy Titans vs Milwaukee Panthers | Milwaukee Panthers | 2.25 | 1.0u | +3.17% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 05 Mar | NCAAB | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs California Golden Bears | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 2.40 | 1.0u | +3.38% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 05 Mar | NCAAB | SIU-Edwardsville Cougars vs Eastern Illinois Panthers | Eastern Illinois Panthers | 2.95 | 1.0u | +3.42% | WON | +1.95u |
| 05 Mar | NCAAB | Davidson Wildcats vs Saint Joseph's Hawks | Saint Joseph's Hawks | 2.50 | 1.0u | +6.51% | WON | +1.50u |
| 05 Mar | NCAAB | Penn State Nittany Lions vs Ohio State Buckeyes | Penn State Nittany Lions | 4.00 | 0.5u | +2.03% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 05 Mar | NCAAB | Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns | Texas Longhorns | 3.96 | 0.5u | +1.77% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 05 Mar | NCAAB | SMU Mustangs vs Miami Hurricanes | SMU Mustangs | 1.80 | 1.5u | -0.31% | LOST | -1.50u |
| 05 Mar | NCAAB | Indiana Hoosiers vs Minnesota Golden Gophers | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 3.70 | 0.5u | +0.00% | LOST | -0.50u |
| 04 Mar | NBA | Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks | New York Knicks | 1.78 | 1.5u | +1.29% | WON | +1.17u |
| 04 Mar | NCAAB | North Carolina Tar Heels vs Clemson Tigers | North Carolina Tar Heels | 1.57 | 1.5u | -3.81% | WON | +0.86u |
| 04 Mar | NCAAB | Lafayette Leopards vs Holy Cross Crusaders | Holy Cross Crusaders | 2.85 | 1.0u | +1.14% | WON | +1.85u |
| 04 Mar | NCAAB | Bucknell Bison vs Army Knights | Army Knights | 2.25 | 1.0u | +4.58% | LOST | -1.00u |
| 04 Mar | NCAAB | Buffalo Bulls vs Eastern Michigan Eagles | Buffalo Bulls | 1.52 | 1.5u | +5.13% | WON | +0.78u |
| 03 Mar | NCAAB | Sacramento St Hornets vs Idaho State Bengals | Idaho State Bengals | 2.00 | 1.5u | +2.63% | LOST | -1.50u |
| Net · last 0 days | +5.32u | |||||||
Atlanta Hawks
@1.86 · 1.5u · CLV -3.76%
+1.29u
St Louis Blues
@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%
+2.00u
Georgia Southern Eagles
@1.95 · 1.5u · CLV +6.86%
+1.42u
Milwaukee Panthers
@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV +3.17%
-1.00u
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
@2.40 · 1.0u · CLV +3.38%
-1.00u
Eastern Illinois Panthers
@2.95 · 1.0u · CLV +3.42%
+1.95u
Saint Joseph's Hawks
@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +6.51%
+1.50u
Penn State Nittany Lions
@4.00 · 0.5u · CLV +2.03%
-0.50u
Texas Longhorns
@3.96 · 0.5u · CLV +1.77%
-0.50u
SMU Mustangs
@1.80 · 1.5u · CLV -0.31%
-1.50u
Minnesota Golden Gophers
@3.70 · 0.5u · CLV +0.00%
-0.50u
New York Knicks
@1.78 · 1.5u · CLV +1.29%
+1.17u
North Carolina Tar Heels
@1.57 · 1.5u · CLV -3.81%
+0.86u
Holy Cross Crusaders
@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV +1.14%
+1.85u
Army Knights
@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV +4.58%
-1.00u
Buffalo Bulls
@1.52 · 1.5u · CLV +5.13%
+0.78u
Idaho State Bengals
@2.00 · 1.5u · CLV +2.63%
-1.50u
Net · last 0d
+5.32u
Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.
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