The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,069

Win Rate

44.2%

Net Units

-0.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 23 Jun 2026 11:57 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

  1. W10
  2. W11
  3. W12
  4. W13
  5. W14
  6. W15
  7. W16
  8. W17
  9. W18
  10. W19
  11. W20
  12. W21
  13. W22
  14. W23
  15. W24
  16. W25
  17. W26

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

17 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,067 rows · page 20 of 22

WTA Indian Wells09 Mar

Katie Volynets

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

MMA09 Mar

Jesus Santos Aguilar

@2.90 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

WTA Indian Wells09 Mar

Sofia Kenin

@3.45 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

WTA Indian Wells09 Mar

Ashlyn Krueger

@1.92 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.38u

WTA Indian Wells09 Mar

Magda Linette

@1.99 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

WTA Indian Wells09 Mar

Petra Marcinko

@1.81 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

MMA09 Mar

Michael Johnson

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

WTA Indian Wells09 Mar

Laura Siegemund

@2.04 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.04u

WTA Indian Wells09 Mar

Storm Hunter

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV

WON

+1.13u

WTA Indian Wells09 Mar

Magdalena Frech

@1.43 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

WTA Indian Wells09 Mar

Katie Volynets

@1.79 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.19u

ATP Indian Wells09 Mar

Aleksandar Kovacevic

@2.63 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.63u

MMA09 Mar

Diyar Nurgozhay

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.80u

ATP Indian Wells09 Mar

Aleksandar Kovacevic

@3.16 · 0.5u · CLV

WON

+1.08u

WTA Indian Wells09 Mar

Qinwen Zheng

@1.42 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

WTA Indian Wells09 Mar

Antonia Ruzic

@3.66 · 0.5u · CLV

WON

+1.33u

ATP Indian Wells09 Mar

Nuno Borges

@2.28 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

WTA Indian Wells09 Mar

Liudmila Samsonova

@1.75 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Indian Wells09 Mar

Mackenzie McDonald

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

NCAAB09 Mar

Charleston Cougars

@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

NCAAB08 Mar

Iowa Hawkeyes

@3.40 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NHL08 Mar

Pittsburgh Penguins

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.35u

Primeira Liga08 Mar

Vitória SC

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

NBA08 Mar

Los Angeles Lakers

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.50u

NCAAB08 Mar

East Tennessee St Buccaneers

@1.77 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.16u

NHL08 Mar

Minnesota Wild

@3.55 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Indian Wells08 Mar

Jacob Fearnley

@1.82 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.23u

ATP Indian Wells08 Mar

Roberto Bautista Agut

@3.85 · 0.5u · CLV

WON

+1.43u

ATP Indian Wells08 Mar

Mackenzie McDonald

@1.79 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.19u

WTA Indian Wells08 Mar

Emiliana Arango

@3.75 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

AFL08 Mar

St Kilda Saints

@1.95 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

AFL08 Mar

Collingwood Magpies

@2.04 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.04u

NRL08 Mar

South Sydney Rabbitohs

@2.07 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.07u

NHL08 Mar

Calgary Flames

@3.95 · 0.5u · CLV

WON

+1.48u

NHL08 Mar

Seattle Kraken

@3.20 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NHL08 Mar

Toronto Maple Leafs

@4.00 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NHL08 Mar

Philadelphia Flyers

@2.95 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.95u

NHL08 Mar

Nashville Predators

@3.95 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NCAAB08 Mar

Hampton Pirates

@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NCAAB07 Mar

Kentucky Wildcats

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NHL07 Mar

New York Rangers

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NHL07 Mar

Washington Capitals

@2.88 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

Ligue 107 Mar

Auxerre

@3.75 · 0.5u · CLV +2.75%

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Indian Wells07 Mar

Rinky Hijikata

@1.77 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.16u

AFL07 Mar

Brisbane Lions

@1.51 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

NRL07 Mar

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles

@2.02 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

NRL07 Mar

Gold Coast Titans

@4.00 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NHL07 Mar

St Louis Blues

@2.95 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.95u

NHL07 Mar

Minnesota Wild

@2.60 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.60u

NHL07 Mar

Vancouver Canucks

@3.05 · 0.5u · CLV

WON

+1.02u

Net · last 0d

+3.71u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

SEEN ENOUGH?

Everything above updates as the pipeline settles. If the ledger reads like something you’d want in your inbox, membership is free until 31 July 2026 — no card required — and after that you pay only on green weeks.

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