The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,069

Win Rate

44.2%

Net Units

-0.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 23 Jun 2026 06:00 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

  1. W10
  2. W11
  3. W12
  4. W13
  5. W14
  6. W15
  7. W16
  8. W17
  9. W18
  10. W19
  11. W20
  12. W21
  13. W22
  14. W23
  15. W24
  16. W25
  17. W26

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

17 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,067 rows · page 16 of 22

NHL19 Mar

Dallas Stars

@3.05 · 0.5u · CLV

WON

+1.02u

NHL19 Mar

Philadelphia Flyers

@3.05 · 0.5u · CLV

WON

+1.02u

NHL19 Mar

Washington Capitals

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.85u

NBA19 Mar

Los Angeles Clippers

@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

Brasileirão19 Mar

Sao Paulo

@3.70 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NHL19 Mar

Pittsburgh Penguins

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

Brasileirão19 Mar

Draw

@3.45 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NHL18 Mar

Vancouver Canucks

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV

WON

+1.13u

NHL18 Mar

Vegas Golden Knights

@2.45 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

NHL18 Mar

Seattle Kraken

@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NHL18 Mar

San Jose Sharks

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NBA18 Mar

Minnesota Timberwolves

@1.57 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+0.86u

NHL18 Mar

Chicago Blackhawks

@3.45 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

NHL18 Mar

Nashville Predators

@2.90 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.90u

NHL18 Mar

Columbus Blue Jackets

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.85u

NBA18 Mar

Charlotte Hornets

@1.58 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+0.87u

NHL18 Mar

New York Islanders

@2.45 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.45u

NHL18 Mar

Boston Bruins

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Miami Open18 Mar

Daniel Merida Aguilar

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Miami Open18 Mar

Christopher O'Connell

@2.65 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.65u

EFL Championship17 Mar

Watford

@2.30 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.30u

International T2017 Mar

South Africa

@2.41 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

NBL17 Mar

S.E. Melbourne Phoenix

@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

NBL17 Mar

Adelaide 36ers

@1.90 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.35u

NHL17 Mar

Utah Mammoth

@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV

WON

+1.08u

NHL17 Mar

Calgary Flames

@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

One Day Internationals16 Mar

Malaysia

@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

One Day Internationals16 Mar

Bahrain

@1.95 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.42u

NHL16 Mar

Nashville Predators

@3.60 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

Brasileirão16 Mar

Cruzeiro

@1.76 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

NHL16 Mar

Anaheim Ducks

@3.05 · 0.5u · CLV

WON

+1.02u

Brasileirão15 Mar

Coritiba

@1.80 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.20u

NHL15 Mar

San Jose Sharks

@3.85 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

La Liga15 Mar

Draw

@3.60 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

Serie A15 Mar

Como

@2.30 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.30u

Ligue 115 Mar

Draw

@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV

WON

+1.25u

EPL15 Mar

Liverpool

@1.43 · 1.5u · CLV +6.99%

LOST

-1.50u

Eredivisie15 Mar

Go Ahead Eagles

@2.23 · 1.0u · CLV +1.67%

WON

+1.23u

EPL15 Mar

Nottingham Forest

@2.17 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

La Liga15 Mar

Draw

@3.20 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

International T2015 Mar

South Africa

@2.66 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.66u

International T2015 Mar

New Zealand

@1.72 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

NRL15 Mar

Gold Coast Titans

@3.40 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

MMA15 Mar

Oumar Sy

@1.45 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

MMA15 Mar

Vitor Petrino

@1.45 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+0.68u

MMA15 Mar

Andre Fili

@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

MMA15 Mar

Gillian Robertson

@1.52 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+0.78u

MMA15 Mar

Steven Asplund

@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

AFL15 Mar

North Melbourne Kangaroos

@2.55 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.55u

AFL15 Mar

Port Adelaide Power

@1.65 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

Net · last 0d

+6.92u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

SEEN ENOUGH?

Everything above updates as the pipeline settles. If the ledger reads like something you’d want in your inbox, membership is free until 31 July 2026 — no card required — and after that you pay only on green weeks.

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