The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,069

Win Rate

44.2%

Net Units

-0.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 23 Jun 2026 04:50 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

17 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,067 rows · page 15 of 22

Settled	Sport	Event	Selection	Odds	Stake	CLV	Result	P/L
21 Mar	NHL	Toronto Maple Leafs vs Carolina Hurricanes	Toronto Maple Leafs	4.00	0.5u	—	LOST	-0.50u
21 Mar	NHL	Washington Capitals vs New Jersey Devils	New Jersey Devils	2.85	1.0u	—	LOST	-1.00u
21 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	2.22	1.0u	—	WON	+1.22u
21 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Valentin Royer vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Thiago Agustin Tirante	2.08	1.0u	—	WON	+1.08u
21 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	2.80	1.0u	—	WON	+1.80u
20 Mar	NCAAB	Villanova Wildcats vs Utah State Aggies	Utah State Aggies	1.78	1.5u	—	WON	+1.17u
20 Mar	EPL	Bournemouth vs Manchester United	Manchester United	2.12	1.0u	—	LOST	-1.00u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Terence Atmane vs Daniel Altmaier	Daniel Altmaier	2.64	1.0u	—	LOST	-1.00u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Zizou Bergs vs Jenson Brooksby	Jenson Brooksby	1.72	1.5u	—	LOST	-1.50u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Alex Michelsen vs Mattia Bellucci	Alex Michelsen	1.50	1.5u	—	WON	+0.75u
20 Mar	NCAAB	Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Akron Zips	Akron Zips	3.80	0.5u	—	LOST	-0.50u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Alejandro Tabilo vs Francisco Comesana	Francisco Comesana	3.00	1.0u	—	LOST	-1.00u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1.67	1.5u	—	LOST	-1.50u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Kamil Majchrzak vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	1.60	1.5u	—	LOST	-1.50u
20 Mar	AFL	Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs	Western Bulldogs	2.00	1.5u	—	WON	+1.50u
20 Mar	NRL	Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos	Brisbane Broncos	3.50	0.5u	+0.84%	WON	+1.25u
20 Mar	NRL	Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos	Melbourne Storm	1.49	1.5u	+6.96%	LOST	-1.50u
20 Mar	A-League	Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United	Adelaide United	3.25	0.5u	—	WON	+1.13u
20 Mar	NRL	Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers	Penrith Panthers	1.62	1.5u	+2.79%	WON	+0.93u
20 Mar	NRL	Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers	Sydney Roosters	2.90	1.0u	+3.98%	LOST	-1.00u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Emilio Nava vs Tomas Machac	Tomas Machac	1.48	1.5u	—	WON	+0.72u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Marin Cilic vs Alexei Popyrin	Marin Cilic	1.58	1.5u	—	WON	+0.87u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Reilly Opelka vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	1.95	1.5u	—	LOST	-1.50u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Martin Damm Jr. vs Jacob Fearnley	Martin Damm Jr.	2.20	1.0u	—	WON	+1.20u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Emilio Nava vs Tomas Machac	Emilio Nava	2.94	1.0u	—	LOST	-1.00u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Marin Cilic vs Alexei Popyrin	Alexei Popyrin	2.47	1.0u	—	LOST	-1.00u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Fery	Stefanos Tsitsipas	1.50	1.5u	—	WON	+0.75u
20 Mar	NHL	Los Angeles Kings vs Philadelphia Flyers	Philadelphia Flyers	3.40	0.5u	—	WON	+1.20u
20 Mar	NHL	San Jose Sharks vs Buffalo Sabres	San Jose Sharks	3.05	0.5u	—	LOST	-0.50u
20 Mar	NHL	Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers	Florida Panthers	3.15	0.5u	—	WON	+1.08u
20 Mar	NBA	Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers	Miami Heat	1.68	1.5u	—	LOST	-1.50u
20 Mar	NHL	Nashville Predators vs Seattle Kraken	Seattle Kraken	2.85	1.0u	—	LOST	-1.00u
20 Mar	NBA	Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers	Los Angeles Lakers	2.85	1.0u	—	WON	+1.85u
20 Mar	NHL	Minnesota Wild vs Chicago Blackhawks	Chicago Blackhawks	3.75	0.5u	—	WON	+1.38u
20 Mar	NHL	Ottawa Senators vs New York Islanders	New York Islanders	2.80	1.0u	—	LOST	-1.00u
20 Mar	NHL	Columbus Blue Jackets vs New York Rangers	New York Rangers	3.85	0.5u	—	LOST	-0.50u
20 Mar	NHL	Boston Bruins vs Winnipeg Jets	Winnipeg Jets	2.95	1.0u	—	LOST	-1.00u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrov	Raphael Collignon	2.25	1.0u	—	WON	+1.25u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Mariano Navone	Nikoloz Basilashvili	2.23	1.0u	—	WON	+1.23u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Denis Shapovalov vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	2.80	1.0u	—	WON	+1.80u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Fabian Marozsan vs Joao Fonseca	Fabian Marozsan	3.54	0.5u	—	LOST	-0.50u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Ignacio Buse vs Damir Dzumhur	Ignacio Buse	1.60	1.5u	—	LOST	-1.50u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Zizou Bergs vs Jenson Brooksby	Jenson Brooksby	3.30	0.5u	—	LOST	-0.50u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	1.82	1.5u	—	LOST	-1.50u
20 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Darwin Blanch vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Darwin Blanch	2.67	1.0u	—	WON	+1.67u
20 Mar	Brasileirão	Grêmio vs Vitoria	Draw	3.85	0.5u	—	LOST	-0.50u
19 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino	Zhizhen Zhang	1.71	1.5u	—	LOST	-1.50u
19 Mar	ATP Miami Open	Rafael Jodar vs Yannick Hanfmann	Yannick Hanfmann	2.15	1.0u	—	LOST	-1.00u
19 Mar	AFL	Hawthorn Hawks vs Sydney Swans	Hawthorn Hawks	1.48	1.5u	—	WON	+0.72u
19 Mar	NRL	Canberra Raiders vs Canterbury Bulldogs	Canberra Raiders	1.89	1.5u	+0.28%	LOST	-1.50u
Net · last 0 days								-2.95u

NHL21 Mar

Toronto Maple Leafs

@4.00 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

NHL21 Mar

New Jersey Devils

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Miami Open21 Mar

Matteo Berrettini

@2.22 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.22u

ATP Miami Open21 Mar

Thiago Agustin Tirante

@2.08 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.08u

ATP Miami Open21 Mar

Ethan Quinn

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.80u

NCAAB20 Mar

Utah State Aggies

@1.78 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.17u

EPL20 Mar

Manchester United

@2.12 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Daniel Altmaier

@2.64 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Jenson Brooksby

@1.72 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Alex Michelsen

@1.50 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.75u

NCAAB20 Mar

Akron Zips

@3.80 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Francisco Comesana

@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

@1.67 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Miomir Kecmanovic

@1.60 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

AFL20 Mar

Western Bulldogs

@2.00 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.50u

NRL20 Mar

Brisbane Broncos

@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV +0.84%

WON

+1.25u

NRL20 Mar

Melbourne Storm

@1.49 · 1.5u · CLV +6.96%

LOST

-1.50u

A-League20 Mar

Adelaide United

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.13u

NRL20 Mar

Penrith Panthers

@1.62 · 1.5u · CLV +2.79%

WON

+0.93u

NRL20 Mar

Sydney Roosters

@2.90 · 1.0u · CLV +3.98%

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Tomas Machac

@1.48 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.72u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Marin Cilic

@1.58 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.87u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Nuno Borges

@1.95 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Martin Damm Jr.

@2.20 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.20u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Emilio Nava

@2.94 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Alexei Popyrin

@2.47 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Stefanos Tsitsipas

@1.50 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.75u

NHL20 Mar

Philadelphia Flyers

@3.40 · 0.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.20u

NHL20 Mar

San Jose Sharks

@3.05 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

NHL20 Mar

Florida Panthers

@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.08u

NBA20 Mar

Miami Heat

@1.68 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

NHL20 Mar

Seattle Kraken

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NBA20 Mar

Los Angeles Lakers

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.85u

NHL20 Mar

Chicago Blackhawks

@3.75 · 0.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.38u

NHL20 Mar

New York Islanders

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NHL20 Mar

New York Rangers

@3.85 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

NHL20 Mar

Winnipeg Jets

@2.95 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Raphael Collignon

@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.25u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Nikoloz Basilashvili

@2.23 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.23u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Botic van de Zandschulp

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.80u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Fabian Marozsan

@3.54 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Ignacio Buse

@1.60 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Jenson Brooksby

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Hubert Hurkacz

@1.82 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Miami Open20 Mar

Darwin Blanch

@2.67 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.67u

Brasileirão20 Mar

Draw

@3.85 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Miami Open19 Mar

Zhizhen Zhang

@1.71 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Miami Open19 Mar

Yannick Hanfmann

@2.15 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

AFL19 Mar

Hawthorn Hawks

@1.48 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.72u

NRL19 Mar

Canberra Raiders

@1.89 · 1.5u · CLV +0.28%

LOST

-1.50u

Net · last 0d

-2.95u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

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