The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,069

Win Rate

44.2%

Net Units

-0.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 23 Jun 2026 03:28 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

  1. W10
  2. W11
  3. W12
  4. W13
  5. W14
  6. W15
  7. W16
  8. W17
  9. W18
  10. W19
  11. W20
  12. W21
  13. W22
  14. W23
  15. W24
  16. W25
  17. W26

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

17 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,067 rows · page 14 of 22

NRL22 Mar

St George Illawarra Dragons

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV +5.73%

LOST

-1.00u

AFL22 Mar

Essendon Bombers

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV +1.64%

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Miami Open22 Mar

Arthur Cazaux

@2.99 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

MMA22 Mar

Michael Page

@1.58 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.87u

MMA22 Mar

Sam Patterson

@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

MMA22 Mar

Luke Riley

@1.44 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.66u

A-League22 Mar

Newcastle Jets FC

@3.20 · 0.5u · CLV +4.46%

WON

+1.10u

NHL22 Mar

Boston Bruins

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV +14.29%

WON

+1.80u

Brasileirão22 Mar

Sao Paulo

@2.95 · 1.0u · CLV +1.82%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL22 Mar

New York Islanders

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV +12.36%

LOST

-1.00u

Brasileirão22 Mar

Palmeiras

@2.65 · 1.0u · CLV +1.48%

WON

+1.65u

NHL22 Mar

Vancouver Canucks

@3.05 · 0.5u · CLV +11.66%

LOST

-0.50u

NBA22 Mar

Orlando Magic

@2.57 · 1.0u · CLV +4.95%

LOST

-1.00u

NCAAB22 Mar

Dayton Flyers

@1.98 · 1.5u · CLV +9.02%

WON

+1.47u

ATP Miami Open22 Mar

Terence Atmane

@2.45 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.45u

ATP Miami Open22 Mar

Alejandro Tabilo

@2.88 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.88u

MMA22 Mar

Kurtis Campbell

@1.49 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Miami Open22 Mar

Alex Michelsen

@1.68 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.02u

MMA22 Mar

Shem Rock

@2.43 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

MMA22 Mar

Nathaniel Wood

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.05u

ATP Miami Open22 Mar

Tomas Machac

@1.75 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Miami Open22 Mar

Quentin Halys

@3.34 · 0.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.17u

MMA22 Mar

Losene Keita

@1.53 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA22 Mar

Mason Jones

@1.83 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.25u

ATP Miami Open22 Mar

Zizou Bergs

@2.08 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NHL21 Mar

Seattle Kraken

@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV +13.98%

LOST

-0.50u

AFL21 Mar

St Kilda Saints

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV +6.58%

WON

+1.85u

NBL21 Mar

Adelaide 36ers

@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV +1.15%

LOST

-1.00u

NRL21 Mar

South Sydney Rabbitohs

@1.60 · 1.5u · CLV +0.79%

WON

+0.90u

NRL21 Mar

Wests Tigers

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +0.98%

LOST

-1.00u

Primeira Liga21 Mar

Draw

@3.05 · 0.5u · CLV +1.11%

LOST

-0.50u

Brasileirão21 Mar

Draw

@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV +0.41%

LOST

-0.50u

NRL21 Mar

Newcastle Knights

@2.90 · 1.0u · CLV +1.23%

LOST

-1.00u

NRL21 Mar

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks

@1.49 · 1.5u · CLV +2.82%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL21 Mar

Winnipeg Jets

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +13.75%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL21 Mar

Anaheim Ducks

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV +14.91%

WON

+1.05u

EPL21 Mar

Liverpool

@2.12 · 1.0u · CLV -2.73%

LOST

-1.00u

NBA21 Mar

Denver Nuggets

@1.50 · 1.5u · CLV +5.80%

WON

+0.75u

La Liga21 Mar

Draw

@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV +2.20%

LOST

-0.50u

NBL21 Mar

Sydney Kings

@1.45 · 1.5u · CLV +4.56%

WON

+0.68u

ATP Miami Open21 Mar

Aleksandar Vukic

@4.00 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Miami Open21 Mar

Arthur Cazaux

@1.50 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.75u

ATP Miami Open21 Mar

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Miami Open21 Mar

Luciano Darderi

@1.74 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Miami Open21 Mar

Alexander Shevchenko

@2.08 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.08u

ATP Miami Open21 Mar

Christopher O'Connell

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.85u

ATP Miami Open21 Mar

Matteo Arnaldi

@2.15 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Miami Open21 Mar

Stefanos Tsitsipas

@3.29 · 0.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.15u

ATP Miami Open21 Mar

Mariano Navone

@2.87 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NBA21 Mar

Detroit Pistons

@1.56 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.84u

Net · last 0d

+0.27u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

SEEN ENOUGH?

Everything above updates as the pipeline settles. If the ledger reads like something you’d want in your inbox, membership is free until 31 July 2026 — no card required — and after that you pay only on green weeks.

Get 5 free weeksRead the method →

18+ only. Informational only. You place your own bets at your own bookmaker. We never hold your money. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Gambler's Help: 1800 858 858.