The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,069

Win Rate

44.2%

Net Units

-0.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 23 Jun 2026 02:17 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

  1. W10
  2. W11
  3. W12
  4. W13
  5. W14
  6. W15
  7. W16
  8. W17
  9. W18
  10. W19
  11. W20
  12. W21
  13. W22
  14. W23
  15. W24
  16. W25
  17. W26

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

17 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,067 rows · page 13 of 22

NBA26 Mar

Cleveland Cavaliers

@1.62 · 1.5u · CLV +0.77%

LOST

-1.50u

NBA26 Mar

Oklahoma City Thunder

@1.67 · 1.5u · CLV +0.73%

LOST

-1.50u

NBA26 Mar

Boston Celtics

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV +0.93%

WON

+1.35u

NHL26 Mar

Boston Bruins

@3.95 · 0.5u · CLV +11.45%

WON

+1.48u

NHL26 Mar

New York Rangers

@2.60 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.00u

International T2025 Mar

New Zealand

@1.80 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

NHL25 Mar

Vancouver Canucks

@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV +9.31%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL25 Mar

Edmonton Oilers

@2.88 · 1.0u · CLV +14.06%

WON

+1.88u

NHL25 Mar

Calgary Flames

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV +12.19%

WON

+1.05u

NHL25 Mar

San Jose Sharks

@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV +1.04%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL25 Mar

New Jersey Devils

@3.40 · 0.5u · CLV +10.91%

WON

+1.20u

NHL25 Mar

Winnipeg Jets

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV +13.69%

WON

+1.85u

NHL25 Mar

Minnesota Wild

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV +9.88%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL25 Mar

Chicago Blackhawks

@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV +9.16%

WON

+1.25u

NHL25 Mar

Ottawa Senators

@2.95 · 1.0u · CLV +65.11%

WON

+1.95u

NHL25 Mar

Toronto Maple Leafs

@3.90 · 0.5u · CLV +1.03%

WON

+1.45u

NHL25 Mar

Philadelphia Flyers

@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV +1.15%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL25 Mar

Pittsburgh Penguins

@3.55 · 0.5u · CLV +15.31%

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Miami Open25 Mar

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

@3.80 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Miami Open24 Mar

Kamil Majchrzak

@1.82 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

NHL24 Mar

New York Rangers

@3.85 · 0.5u · CLV +14.03%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL24 Mar

Ottawa Senators

@2.16 · 1.0u · CLV +18.22%

WON

+1.16u

NBA24 Mar

Los Angeles Lakers

@1.77 · 1.5u · CLV +42.51%

LOST

-1.50u

NBA24 Mar

San Antonio Spurs

@1.46 · 1.5u · CLV +30.52%

WON

+0.69u

ATP Miami Open24 Mar

Jakub Mensik

@1.63 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Miami Open24 Mar

Alejandro Tabilo

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Miami Open24 Mar

Frances Tiafoe

@2.30 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.30u

NHL23 Mar

Los Angeles Kings

@3.45 · 0.5u · CLV +9.77%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL23 Mar

Calgary Flames

@3.40 · 0.5u · CLV +10.59%

WON

+1.20u

NHL23 Mar

Anaheim Ducks

@2.48 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%

WON

+1.48u

NHL23 Mar

Vegas Golden Knights

@3.05 · 0.5u · CLV +11.46%

WON

+1.02u

NHL23 Mar

Columbus Blue Jackets

@2.63 · 1.0u · CLV -2.31%

LOST

-1.00u

Brasileirão22 Mar

Vitoria

@2.55 · 1.0u · CLV -1.62%

WON

+1.55u

Brasileirão22 Mar

Cruzeiro

@1.86 · 1.5u · CLV +0.88%

LOST

-1.50u

Brasileirão22 Mar

Bahia

@2.30 · 1.0u · CLV +5.30%

LOST

-1.00u

Brasileirão22 Mar

Atletico Paranaense

@1.96 · 1.5u · CLV +0.26%

WON

+1.44u

Brasileirão22 Mar

Vasco da Gama

@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV +2.38%

WON

+1.10u

La Liga22 Mar

Real Betis

@3.80 · 0.5u · CLV +3.10%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL22 Mar

Washington Capitals

@3.40 · 0.5u · CLV +14.07%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL22 Mar

New York Rangers

@2.40 · 1.0u · CLV +13.89%

LOST

-1.00u

Bundesliga22 Mar

Eintracht Frankfurt

@3.40 · 0.5u · CLV +2.85%

LOST

-0.50u

Eredivisie22 Mar

Feyenoord

@2.32 · 1.0u · CLV +6.90%

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Miami Open22 Mar

Brandon Nakashima

@1.68 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Miami Open22 Mar

Ugo Humbert

@1.90 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.35u

MMA22 Mar

Brando Pericic

@1.40 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.60u

MMA22 Mar

Louie Sutherland

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Miami Open22 Mar

Marin Cilic

@2.21 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.21u

International T2022 Mar

South Africa

@2.65 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.65u

AFL22 Mar

North Melbourne Kangaroos

@1.50 · 1.5u · CLV +1.36%

LOST

-1.50u

NRL22 Mar

Gold Coast Titans

@2.65 · 1.0u · CLV +4.82%

LOST

-1.00u

Net · last 0d

+2.21u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

SEEN ENOUGH?

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