The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,069

Win Rate

44.2%

Net Units

-0.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 23 Jun 2026 01:06 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

  1. W10
  2. W11
  3. W12
  4. W13
  5. W14
  6. W15
  7. W16
  8. W17
  9. W18
  10. W19
  11. W20
  12. W21
  13. W22
  14. W23
  15. W24
  16. W25
  17. W26

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

17 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,067 rows · page 12 of 22

NHL30 Mar

Boston Bruins

@3.20 · 0.5u · CLV +12.23%

WON

+1.10u

NHL29 Mar

Montréal Canadiens

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +9.70%

WON

+1.15u

NHL29 Mar

Nashville Predators

@3.50 · 0.5u · CLV +11.43%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL29 Mar

Florida Panthers

@3.20 · 0.5u · CLV +22.80%

LOST

-0.50u

AFL29 Mar

Carlton Blues

@2.00 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.50u

AFL29 Mar

Melbourne Demons

@1.85 · 1.5u · CLV +2.44%

WON

+1.28u

MMA29 Mar

Gabriella Fernandes

@1.75 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA29 Mar

Israel Adesanya

@1.90 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

Boxing29 Mar

Gerome Warburton

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.50u

MMA29 Mar

Tyrell Fortune

@1.77 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.16u

MMA29 Mar

Maycee Barber

@1.68 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA29 Mar

Ricky Simon

@1.70 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA29 Mar

Terrance Mckinney

@1.60 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.90u

NHL29 Mar

Washington Capitals

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV +10.55%

WON

+1.13u

NHL29 Mar

Vancouver Canucks

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +10.35%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL29 Mar

Philadelphia Flyers

@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV +0.51%

WON

+1.08u

NBA29 Mar

Chicago Bulls

@1.65 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL29 Mar

Nashville Predators

@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV +13.72%

LOST

-1.00u

Boxing29 Mar

Ezra Taylor

@2.45 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NHL29 Mar

Seattle Kraken

@3.80 · 0.5u · CLV +10.72%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL28 Mar

San Jose Sharks

@3.75 · 0.5u · CLV +9.30%

WON

+1.38u

NHL28 Mar

New Jersey Devils

@3.75 · 0.5u · CLV +8.54%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL28 Mar

Pittsburgh Penguins

@2.75 · 1.0u · CLV +13.89%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL28 Mar

Ottawa Senators

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV +10.30%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL28 Mar

Florida Panthers

@3.65 · 0.5u · CLV +13.42%

LOST

-0.50u

AFL28 Mar

Essendon Bombers

@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV +5.34%

LOST

-1.00u

AFL28 Mar

North Melbourne Kangaroos

@1.49 · 1.5u · CLV -0.45%

WON

+0.74u

NBA28 Mar

Cleveland Cavaliers

@1.56 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

WON

+0.84u

NBA28 Mar

Miami Heat

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV +4.29%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL28 Mar

Detroit Red Wings

@3.05 · 0.5u · CLV +13.08%

WON

+1.02u

NHL28 Mar

Chicago Blackhawks

@3.45 · 0.5u · CLV +2.26%

LOST

-0.50u

NBA28 Mar

Atlanta Hawks

@2.90 · 1.0u · CLV +1.23%

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Miami Open28 Mar

Jiri Lehecka

@2.40 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.40u

NRL27 Mar

Brisbane Broncos

@1.74 · 1.5u · CLV +4.26%

WON

+1.11u

NRL27 Mar

Dolphins

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV +1.89%

LOST

-1.00u

NBL27 Mar

Adelaide 36ers

@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV +3.45%

WON

+1.70u

NBL27 Mar

Sydney Kings

@1.58 · 1.5u · CLV +3.38%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL27 Mar

Vancouver Canucks

@3.65 · 0.5u · CLV +2.01%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL27 Mar

Washington Capitals

@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV +13.18%

WON

+2.00u

NHL27 Mar

Calgary Flames

@2.90 · 1.0u · CLV +10.97%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL27 Mar

San Jose Sharks

@2.95 · 1.0u · CLV +1.19%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL27 Mar

Winnipeg Jets

@3.45 · 0.5u · CLV -0.82%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL27 Mar

Columbus Blue Jackets

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV +11.21%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL27 Mar

Florida Panthers

@3.35 · 0.5u · CLV +3.48%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL27 Mar

Chicago Blackhawks

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV +11.22%

LOST

-0.50u

AFL26 Mar

Geelong Cats

@1.42 · 1.5u · CLV +7.70%

WON

+0.63u

NRL26 Mar

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles

@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV +4.40%

LOST

-1.00u

NBA26 Mar

Houston Rockets

@1.85 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.50u

NBA26 Mar

Minnesota Timberwolves

@1.99 · 1.5u · CLV +26.67%

WON

+1.49u

Net · last 0d

-6.89u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

SEEN ENOUGH?

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