The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,069

Win Rate

44.2%

Net Units

-0.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 22 Jun 2026 23:52 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

  1. W10
  2. W11
  3. W12
  4. W13
  5. W14
  6. W15
  7. W16
  8. W17
  9. W18
  10. W19
  11. W20
  12. W21
  13. W22
  14. W23
  15. W24
  16. W25
  17. W26

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

17 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,067 rows · page 11 of 22

MMA05 Apr

Virna Jandiroba

@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.10u

MMA05 Apr

Tabatha Ricci

@1.87 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

MMA05 Apr

Rafael Estevam

@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV

LOST

-0.50u

MMA05 Apr

Ethyn Ewing

@1.68 · 1.5u · CLV

WON

+1.02u

NRL05 Apr

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks

@1.60 · 1.5u · CLV -2.62%

WON

+0.90u

NHL05 Apr

Calgary Flames

@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV +11.73%

WON

+1.08u

NHL05 Apr

Chicago Blackhawks

@3.40 · 0.5u · CLV +13.14%

WON

+1.20u

NHL05 Apr

Nashville Predators

@2.75 · 1.0u · CLV +11.71%

WON

+1.75u

NHL05 Apr

Toronto Maple Leafs

@4.00 · 0.5u · CLV +14.06%

LOST

-0.50u

Boxing05 Apr

Endry Saavedra

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV

LOST

-1.00u

Boxing05 Apr

Deontay Wilder

@2.75 · 1.0u · CLV

WON

+1.75u

Boxing05 Apr

Derek Chisora

@1.71 · 1.5u · CLV

LOST

-1.50u

NHL05 Apr

Winnipeg Jets

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV +13.61%

WON

+1.05u

NHL05 Apr

Columbus Blue Jackets

@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV +0.40%

LOST

-1.00u

Brasileirão05 Apr

Coritiba

@3.60 · 0.5u · CLV +3.47%

LOST

-0.50u

Brasileirão04 Apr

Sao Paulo

@2.16 · 1.0u · CLV +35.00%

WON

+1.16u

MLB04 Apr

Boston Red Sox

@1.72 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL04 Apr

Boston Bruins

@3.55 · 0.5u · CLV +11.20%

LOST

-0.50u

NBA04 Apr

San Antonio Spurs

@1.77 · 1.5u · CLV +42.51%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL04 Apr

Dallas Stars

@2.70 · 1.0u · CLV +12.96%

LOST

-1.00u

Ligue 104 Apr

RC Lens

@2.75 · 1.0u · CLV +35.06%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL04 Apr

New York Rangers

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV +11.22%

WON

+1.05u

A-League04 Apr

Western Sydney Wanderers

@3.75 · 0.5u · CLV +2.75%

LOST

-0.50u

NRL04 Apr

St George Illawarra Dragons

@2.00 · 1.5u · CLV +2.63%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL04 Apr

Philadelphia Flyers

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV +0.00%

WON

+1.05u

MLB03 Apr

Chicago Cubs

@1.85 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.50u

NRL03 Apr

Canterbury Bulldogs

@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV +5.57%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL03 Apr

Nashville Predators

@2.88 · 1.0u · CLV +14.06%

WON

+1.88u

NBA03 Apr

Los Angeles Clippers

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +0.82%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL03 Apr

Toronto Maple Leafs

@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV +14.29%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL03 Apr

Winnipeg Jets

@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV +8.25%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL03 Apr

New York Rangers

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV +8.15%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL03 Apr

Columbus Blue Jackets

@3.60 · 0.5u · CLV +0.79%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL03 Apr

Pittsburgh Penguins

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL02 Apr

St Louis Blues

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV -1.01%

LOST

-0.50u

Brasileirão02 Apr

Coritiba

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.00u

MLB01 Apr

Baltimore Orioles

@2.02 · 1.0u · CLV +49.50%

WON

+1.02u

NBL01 Apr

Sydney Kings

@1.53 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.50u

NBA01 Apr

Los Angeles Lakers

@1.83 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

WON

+1.25u

NHL01 Apr

Seattle Kraken

@3.45 · 0.5u · CLV +9.77%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL01 Apr

Chicago Blackhawks

@3.05 · 0.5u · CLV +13.72%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL01 Apr

Montréal Canadiens

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +13.94%

WON

+1.15u

NHL01 Apr

Columbus Blue Jackets

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.00u

NBA01 Apr

Detroit Pistons

@1.73 · 1.5u · CLV +1.72%

WON

+1.10u

NHL31 Mar

Toronto Maple Leafs

@3.45 · 0.5u · CLV +9.48%

WON

+1.23u

NHL31 Mar

Pittsburgh Penguins

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV +13.55%

WON

+1.80u

NHL30 Mar

Philadelphia Flyers

@3.35 · 0.5u · CLV +2.41%

WON

+1.18u

NHL30 Mar

Chicago Blackhawks

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +14.14%

LOST

-0.50u

NBA30 Mar

Brooklyn Nets

@1.92 · 1.5u · CLV +1.68%

WON

+1.38u

NBA30 Mar

Toronto Raptors

@1.75 · 1.5u · CLV +1.68%

WON

+1.13u

Net · last 0d

-0.27u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

SEEN ENOUGH?

Everything above updates as the pipeline settles. If the ledger reads like something you’d want in your inbox, membership is free until 31 July 2026 — no card required — and after that you pay only on green weeks.

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