The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,069

Win Rate

44.2%

Net Units

-0.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 22 Jun 2026 22:43 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

  1. W10
  2. W11
  3. W12
  4. W13
  5. W14
  6. W15
  7. W16
  8. W17
  9. W18
  10. W19
  11. W20
  12. W21
  13. W22
  14. W23
  15. W24
  16. W25
  17. W26

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

17 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,067 rows · page 10 of 22

ATP Monte Carlo Masters08 Apr

Ethan Quinn

@2.00 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NHL08 Apr

Ottawa Senators

@2.38 · 1.0u · CLV +15.13%

WON

+1.38u

NHL08 Apr

Tampa Bay Lightning

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV +12.53%

LOST

-1.00u

NBA08 Apr

Milwaukee Bucks

@1.80 · 1.5u · CLV +1.26%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL08 Apr

Florida Panthers

@3.80 · 0.5u · CLV +10.72%

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters07 Apr

Alexander Bublik

@1.52 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.78u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters07 Apr

Corentin Moutet

@1.60 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.90u

International T2007 Apr

Indonesia

@2.00 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters07 Apr

Luciano Darderi

@1.71 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters07 Apr

Matteo Berrettini

@1.44 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.66u

MLB07 Apr

Philadelphia Phillies

@1.90 · 1.5u · CLV +46.38%

WON

+1.35u

NHL07 Apr

Chicago Blackhawks

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +9.07%

LOST

-0.50u

MLB07 Apr

Colorado Rockies

@2.65 · 1.0u · CLV +5.55%

WON

+1.65u

NHL07 Apr

Seattle Kraken

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +12.25%

LOST

-0.50u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters07 Apr

Flavio Cobolli

@1.73 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.10u

NBA07 Apr

Atlanta Hawks

@1.92 · 1.5u · CLV +27.92%

LOST

-1.50u

NBA07 Apr

New York Knicks

@1.96 · 1.5u · CLV +1.06%

WON

+1.44u

La Liga06 Apr

Girona

@2.90 · 1.0u · CLV +0.60%

WON

+1.90u

Serie A06 Apr

Napoli

@2.65 · 1.0u · CLV +2.26%

WON

+1.65u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters06 Apr

Valentin Vacherot

@1.63 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+0.94u

Primeira Liga06 Apr

Arouca

@2.45 · 1.0u · CLV +0.85%

WON

+1.45u

NRL06 Apr

Wests Tigers

@2.28 · 1.0u · CLV +1.59%

WON

+1.28u

NRL06 Apr

Parramatta Eels

@1.78 · 1.5u · CLV +4.43%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL06 Apr

St Louis Blues

@3.65 · 0.5u · CLV -1.76%

WON

+1.33u

NBA06 Apr

Golden State Warriors

@2.43 · 1.0u · CLV +1.95%

LOST

-1.00u

NBA06 Apr

Dallas Mavericks

@2.40 · 1.0u · CLV -0.85%

WON

+1.40u

NBA06 Apr

Los Angeles Lakers

@1.41 · 1.5u · CLV +28.09%

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters06 Apr

Alexandre Muller

@1.82 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.23u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters06 Apr

Matteo Arnaldi

@1.95 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters06 Apr

Francisco Comesana

@1.95 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.42u

NBA06 Apr

Orlando Magic

@1.61 · 1.5u · CLV +28.80%

WON

+0.92u

NBA06 Apr

New Orleans Pelicans

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV +37.45%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL06 Apr

New York Rangers

@2.63 · 1.0u · CLV +14.61%

WON

+1.63u

NHL06 Apr

New Jersey Devils

@3.05 · 0.5u · CLV +9.95%

WON

+1.02u

Brasileirão06 Apr

Bragantino-SP

@3.85 · 0.5u · CLV +3.01%

WON

+1.43u

NBA06 Apr

Minnesota Timberwolves

@1.87 · 1.5u · CLV +1.47%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL05 Apr

Carolina Hurricanes

@1.85 · 1.5u · CLV +0.29%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL05 Apr

Philadelphia Flyers

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV +14.59%

WON

+1.35u

La Liga05 Apr

Alavés

@2.50 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters05 Apr

Tallon Griekspoor

@1.64 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters05 Apr

Nikoloz Basilashvili

@2.20 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

International T2005 Apr

France

@1.98 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

Eredivisie05 Apr

Go Ahead Eagles

@1.95 · 1.5u · CLV +2.77%

WON

+1.42u

NRL05 Apr

Newcastle Knights

@2.40 · 1.0u · CLV +0.35%

WON

+1.40u

NRL05 Apr

Canberra Raiders

@1.65 · 1.5u · CLV +3.91%

LOST

-1.50u

MMA05 Apr

Rafael Estevam

@3.15 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

MMA05 Apr

Tabatha Ricci

@1.87 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA05 Apr

Virna Jandiroba

@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.10u

MMA05 Apr

Guilherme Pat

@1.94 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA05 Apr

Robert Ruchala

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV —

LOST

-0.50u

Net · last 0d

+2.63u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

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