The Public Ledger

EVERY BET. EVERY RESULT. EVERY CLV.

Settled bets pulled from the live database. Including the weeks we got it wrong, the drawdowns we’d rather not show you, and the bets that beat the closing line but still lost. Rows are append-only — never edited after grading, only footnoted.

Settled Bets

1,069

Win Rate

44.2%

Net Units

-0.58u

Avg CLV*

+0.19%

Last updated: 22 Jun 2026 21:37 GMT+10

*CLV methodology note: the figure compares the best available price at publish against the recorded closing price, without a vig adjustment. That flatters the model — sometimes substantially on individual rows. It’s published for transparency, not offered as proof of edge; a corrected, vig-adjusted methodology is in the works and the change will be footnoted here when it lands.

Every week since launch

Green weeks billed · red weeks free — and still on the wall

  1. W10
  2. W11
  3. W12
  4. W13
  5. W14
  6. W15
  7. W16
  8. W17
  9. W18
  10. W19
  11. W20
  12. W21
  13. W22
  14. W23
  15. W24
  16. W25
  17. W26

The drawdown

THE PART EVERY TIPSTER CROPS OUT.

Equity & drawdown

17 weeks · cumulative units

CumulativeDrawdown

SETTLED BETS · ALL TIME

1,067 rows · page 9 of 22

MMA12 Apr

Dominick Reyes

@1.77 · 1.5u · CLV —

WON

+1.16u

MMA12 Apr

Carlos Ulberg

@2.20 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.20u

MMA12 Apr

Jiri Prochazka

@1.77 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA12 Apr

Azamat Murzakanov

@1.52 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

MMA12 Apr

Chris Padilla

@1.59 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

NHL12 Apr

Vancouver Canucks

@3.70 · 0.5u · CLV +11.43%

WON

+1.35u

NRL12 Apr

Gold Coast Titans

@2.72 · 1.0u · CLV +5.79%

WON

+1.72u

NHL12 Apr

Florida Panthers

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV +12.08%

WON

+1.85u

NHL12 Apr

Calgary Flames

@2.85 · 1.0u · CLV -3.34%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL12 Apr

Philadelphia Flyers

@2.95 · 1.0u · CLV -0.56%

WON

+1.95u

NHL12 Apr

Columbus Blue Jackets

@2.88 · 1.0u · CLV +11.79%

WON

+1.88u

Brasileirão12 Apr

Santos

@2.25 · 1.0u · CLV +3.86%

WON

+1.25u

NHL11 Apr

New York Rangers

@3.55 · 0.5u · CLV +9.14%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL11 Apr

New Jersey Devils

@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV +11.11%

WON

+2.00u

Brasileirão11 Apr

Vasco da Gama

@2.33 · 1.0u · CLV +0.56%

LOST

-1.00u

MLB11 Apr

Chicago Cubs

@1.70 · 1.5u · CLV +1.42%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL11 Apr

Pittsburgh Penguins

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV +9.76%

LOST

-0.50u

Eredivisie11 Apr

PSV Eindhoven

@1.86 · 1.5u · CLV +0.00%

WON

+1.29u

EPL11 Apr

Brighton and Hove Albion

@1.76 · 1.5u · CLV +34.92%

WON

+1.14u

International T2011 Apr

Indonesia

@2.64 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

AFL11 Apr

Western Bulldogs

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV +10.36%

LOST

-1.00u

AFL11 Apr

Hawthorn Hawks

@1.85 · 1.5u · CLV +41.18%

WON

+0.85u

NRL11 Apr

New Zealand Warriors

@3.40 · 0.5u · CLV +7.35%

WON

+1.20u

A-League11 Apr

Newcastle Jets FC

@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV +1.16%

LOST

-1.00u

NBA11 Apr

Phoenix Suns

@1.77 · 1.5u · CLV +42.51%

LOST

-1.50u

NBA11 Apr

Los Angeles Lakers

@2.10 · 1.0u · CLV +1.89%

WON

+1.10u

AFL10 Apr

Fremantle Dockers

@1.56 · 1.5u · CLV +0.41%

WON

+0.84u

NRL10 Apr

Brisbane Broncos

@1.77 · 1.5u · CLV +8.02%

LOST

-1.50u

NRL10 Apr

North Queensland Cowboys

@2.35 · 1.0u · CLV +5.07%

WON

+1.35u

NRL10 Apr

St George Illawarra Dragons

@3.10 · 0.5u · CLV +5.48%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL10 Apr

Seattle Kraken

@3.55 · 0.5u · CLV +12.65%

WON

+1.27u

NHL10 Apr

Minnesota Wild

@2.80 · 1.0u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL10 Apr

Nashville Predators

@3.30 · 0.5u · CLV +12.25%

LOST

-0.50u

NBA10 Apr

Houston Rockets

@1.59 · 1.5u · CLV +3.33%

WON

+0.89u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters10 Apr

Hubert Hurkacz

@2.62 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NHL10 Apr

Columbus Blue Jackets

@2.75 · 1.0u · CLV +11.26%

LOST

-1.00u

NHL10 Apr

Philadelphia Flyers

@2.90 · 1.0u · CLV +14.30%

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters09 Apr

Jiri Lehecka

@1.91 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

International T2009 Apr

France

@2.05 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.05u

International T2009 Apr

Indonesia

@2.55 · 1.0u · CLV —

LOST

-1.00u

NHL09 Apr

Toronto Maple Leafs

@3.20 · 0.5u · CLV +15.26%

LOST

-0.50u

NHL09 Apr

New York Rangers

@3.00 · 1.0u · CLV -1.08%

LOST

-1.00u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters08 Apr

Valentin Vacherot

@2.56 · 1.0u · CLV —

WON

+1.56u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters08 Apr

Lorenzo Musetti

@1.52 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

ATP Monte Carlo Masters08 Apr

Daniil Medvedev

@1.50 · 1.5u · CLV —

LOST

-1.50u

NBA08 Apr

Phoenix Suns

@1.92 · 1.5u · CLV +27.92%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL08 Apr

Nashville Predators

@3.05 · 0.5u · CLV +13.72%

WON

+1.02u

NHL08 Apr

St Louis Blues

@3.25 · 0.5u · CLV +0.00%

LOST

-0.50u

NBA08 Apr

Miami Heat

@1.85 · 1.5u · CLV -6.88%

LOST

-1.50u

NHL08 Apr

Boston Bruins

@3.65 · 0.5u · CLV +1.17%

LOST

-0.50u

Net · last 0d

-3.08u

Stakes expressed in units. One unit = one percent of bankroll. CLV is the move from our best price at posting to the closing price — positive CLV is the leading indicator a bookmaker eventually limits. The ledger is append-only; rows are never edited after grading, only footnoted.

SEEN ENOUGH?

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